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IsraelIsraelIsraelIsraelKosovoIsraelKosovo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Israel — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Israel
Spread: Kosovo (-2.5)
Resolved Israel. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Israel. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
Israel 71%
Total Value
$867.22
Combined PnL
-$150.74
Smart Money Signal
Israel
5 of 7 top traders (71%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Kosovo0%
Israel100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Israel5 traders
Total Value$867.22
Total Shares867
Combined PnL-$112.77
Kosovo2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares455
Combined PnL-$37.97
Israel — 71%Kosovo — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Israelavg 94.5¢ | $595.3 | $484.99 | -$110.31 | 49% 3821-3983 (7804) |
GO GoalLineGhost | Israelavg 87.8¢ | $272.01 | $269.76 | -$2.25 | 53% 2085-1830 (3915) |
CI cigarettes<$100 | Israelavg 98.2¢ | $89.47 | $91.11 | +$1.64 | 53% 7060-6194 (13254) |
GH ghorrock<$100 | Israelavg 89¢ | $18.6 | $16.36 | -$2.24 | 52% 1721-1568 (3289) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Kosovoavg 12¢ | $28.31 | — | -$28.31 | 42% 995-1363 (2358) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Israelavg 92¢ | $4.61 | $5 | +$0.4 | 48% 2074-2236 (4310) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Kosovoavg 4.4¢ | $9.66 | — | -$9.66 | 48% 3214-3513 (6727) |
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$595.3
Value
$484.99
PnL
-$110.31
Record
49%
3821-3983 (7804)
GO
GoalLineGhostInvested
$272.01
Value
$269.76
PnL
-$2.25
Record
53%
2085-1830 (3915)
CI
cigarettes<$100Invested
$89.47
Value
$91.11
PnL
+$1.64
Record
53%
7060-6194 (13254)
GH
ghorrock<$100Invested
$18.6
Value
$16.36
PnL
-$2.24
Record
52%
1721-1568 (3289)
SE
sentrioCTR<$100Invested
$28.31
Value
—
PnL
-$28.31
Record
42%
995-1363 (2358)
FE
ferdinand2<$100Invested
$4.61
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.4
Record
48%
2074-2236 (4310)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$9.66
Value
—
PnL
-$9.66
Record
48%
3214-3513 (6727)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xbf54fe2e...ad3edd
Slug
unl-kvx-isr-2026-11-14-spread-home-2pt5