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NoNoYesNoYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Finland vs. San Marino: Draw at halftime?
Resolved No. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 60%
Total Value
$81.43
Combined PnL
-$51.32
Smart Money Signal
No
3 of 5 top traders (60%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No3 traders
Total Value$81.43
Total Shares81
Combined PnL-$25.04
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares180
Combined PnL-$26.28
No — 60%Yes — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Noavg 86¢ | $48.01 | $55.83 | +$7.82 | 49% 4712-4983 (9695) |
38 38791873984189 | Noavg 95.8¢ | $143.29 | $20.6 | -$33.56 | 48% 3997-4384 (8381) |
LI LimousinCTR<$100 | Yesavg 15¢ | $12.24 | — | -$12.24 | 38% 1353-2203 (3556) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Noavg 86¢ | $4.3 | $5 | +$0.7 | 48% 2576-2780 (5356) |
GO GoalLineGhostCTR<$100 | Yesavg 14.2¢ | $14.04 | — | -$14.04 | 52% 2510-2301 (4811) |
FL
Flaznorp<$100Invested
$48.01
Value
$55.83
PnL
+$7.82
Record
49%
4712-4983 (9695)
38
38791873984189Invested
$143.29
Value
$20.6
PnL
-$33.56
Record
48%
3997-4384 (8381)
LI
LimousinCTR<$100Invested
$12.24
Value
—
PnL
-$12.24
Record
38%
1353-2203 (3556)
FE
ferdinand2<$100Invested
$4.3
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.7
Record
48%
2576-2780 (5356)
GO
GoalLineGhostCTR<$100Invested
$14.04
Value
—
PnL
-$14.04
Record
52%
2510-2301 (4811)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x87155f40...46341d
Slug
unl-fin-smr-2026-11-15-halftime-result-draw