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NoNoNoNoNoYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
England vs. Croatia: Draw at halftime?
Resolved No. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 83%
Total Value
$561.85
Combined PnL
$17.45
Smart Money Signal
No
5 of 7 top traders (71%)2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No5 traders
Total Value$561.85
Total Shares562
Combined PnL+$35.56
Yes2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares50
Combined PnL-$18.11
No — 71%Yes — 29%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Noavg 86.5¢ | $434.98 | $482.95 | +$47.97 | 51% 2691-2616 (5307) |
CI cigarettes<$100 | Noavg 97¢ | $48.5 | $50 | +$1.5 | 53% 6285-5568 (11853) |
38 38791873984189<$100 | Noavg 88¢ | $96.71 | $20.88 | -$16.51 | 48% 2320-2524 (4844) |
0X 0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382<$100 | Noavg 68¢ | $3.4 | $5 | +$1.6 | 42% 98-135 (233) |
GO GoalLineGhost<$100 | Noavg 67¢ | $2.03 | $3.03 | +$1 | 55% 1709-1415 (3124) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 34% 610-1204 (1814) |
SU suntoriCTR<$100 | Yesavg 47¢ | $19.04 | — | -$16.61 | 47% 1724-1982 (3706) |
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$434.98
Value
$482.95
PnL
+$47.97
Record
51%
2691-2616 (5307)
CI
cigarettes<$100Invested
$48.5
Value
$50
PnL
+$1.5
Record
53%
6285-5568 (11853)
38
38791873984189<$100Invested
$96.71
Value
$20.88
PnL
-$16.51
Record
48%
2320-2524 (4844)
0X
0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382<$100Invested
$3.4
Value
$5
PnL
+$1.6
Record
42%
98-135 (233)
GO
GoalLineGhost<$100Invested
$2.03
Value
$3.03
PnL
+$1
Record
55%
1709-1415 (3124)
LI
LightParadoxCTR<$100Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
34%
610-1204 (1814)
SU
suntoriCTR<$100Invested
$19.04
Value
—
PnL
-$16.61
Record
47%
1724-1982 (3706)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x478c63a6...e45010
Slug
unl-eng-hrv-2026-11-12-halftime-result-draw