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YesYesYesNoNo
poshposhCTR<$100No
VeryLucky888CTRNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
England to score first vs. Croatia?
Resolved Yes. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
Yes 40%
Total Value
$2.2K
Combined PnL
-$153.48
Smart Money Signal
Yes
3 of 7 top traders (43%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes3 traders
Total Value$2.2K
Total Shares2,246
Combined PnL+$32
No4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,826
Combined PnL-$185.48
Yes — 43%No — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PV pvc975 | Yesavg 99.9¢ | $2.2K | $2.2K | +$2.24 | 99% 190-2 (192) |
FO Forecastication2<$100 | Yesavg 76¢ | $4.56 | $6 | +$1.44 | 44% 170-217 (387) |
SU suntori<$100 | Yesavg 77¢ | $95.23 | $0.01 | +$28.32 | 47% 1724-1982 (3706) |
QW qwen300.fundCTR<$100 | Noavg 21¢ | $84 | — | +$182.67 | 30% 3000-7146 (10146) |
FO forecastication4CTR | Noavg 20¢ | $231.4 | — | -$231.4 | 28% 105-276 (381) |
poshposhCTR<$100 | Noavg 8¢ | $1.18 | — | -$1.18 | 48% 621-673 (1294) |
VeryLucky888CTR | Noavg 20.7¢ | $135.58 | — | -$135.58 | 52% 836-757 (1593) |
PV
pvc975Invested
$2,238.18
Value
$2.2K
PnL
+$2.24
Record
99%
190-2 (192)
FO
Forecastication2<$100Invested
$4.56
Value
$6
PnL
+$1.44
Record
44%
170-217 (387)
SU
suntori<$100Invested
$95.23
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$28.32
Record
47%
1724-1982 (3706)
QW
qwen300.fundCTR<$100Invested
$84
Value
—
PnL
+$182.67
Record
30%
3000-7146 (10146)
FO
forecastication4CTRInvested
$231.4
Value
—
PnL
-$231.4
Record
28%
105-276 (381)
poshposhCTR<$100Invested
$1.18
Value
—
PnL
-$1.18
Record
48%
621-673 (1294)
VeryLucky888CTRInvested
$135.58
Value
—
PnL
-$135.58
Record
52%
836-757 (1593)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xb084ea73...baf2c0
Slug
unl-eng-hrv-2026-11-12-first-to-score-home