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NoNoYesYesYes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Exact Score: England 4 - 4 Croatia?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
No 40%
Total Value
$170
Combined PnL
-$41.18
Smart Money Signal
No
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No2 traders
Total Value$170
Total Shares170
Combined PnL+$0.33
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,545
Combined PnL-$41.51
No — 40%Yes — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp | Noavg 99.8¢ | $159.68 | $160 | +$0.32 | 51% 2691-2616 (5307) |
FE ferdinand2<$100 | Noavg 99.9¢ | $9.99 | $10 | +$0.01 | 49% 1338-1368 (2706) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.7¢ | $14.46 | — | -$14.46 | 48% 2320-2524 (4844) |
LO lovedudleyCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.7¢ | $27.03 | — | -$27.03 | — 2-10 (12) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.2¢ | $0.02 | — | -$0.02 | 54% 1043-906 (1949) |
FL
FlaznorpInvested
$159.68
Value
$160
PnL
+$0.32
Record
51%
2691-2616 (5307)
FE
ferdinand2<$100Invested
$9.99
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.01
Record
49%
1338-1368 (2706)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$14.46
Value
—
PnL
-$14.46
Record
48%
2320-2524 (4844)
LO
lovedudleyCTR<$100Invested
$27.03
Value
—
PnL
-$27.03
Record
—
2-10 (12)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
$0.02
Value
—
PnL
-$0.02
Record
54%
1043-906 (1949)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x2946e3e2...2b84f5
Slug
unl-eng-hrv-2026-11-12-exact-score-4-4