Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Croatia?
Resolved No. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
10
No 40%
$196.98
-$61.48
Smart Money Signal
4 of 10 top traders (40%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
LI Limousin | Noavg 97.4¢ | $121.41 | $123.51 | +$2.1 | 33% 589-1191 (1780) |
VE Venusian<$100 | Noavg 97.7¢ | $44.65 | $43.47 | -$1.18 | 33% 593-1215 (1808) |
SN SnakeBall<$100 | Noavg 96.2¢ | $38.01 | $20 | -$18.01 | 47% 508-580 (1088) |
MA MadridTime<$100 | Noavg 98.4¢ | $4.92 | $5 | +$0.08 | 35% 622-1179 (1801) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.8¢ | $63.29 | $5 | -$19.26 | 48% 2320-2524 (4844) |
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100 | Yesavg 3¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 51% 2691-2616 (5307) |
LU LuckyLooCTR<$100 | Yesavg 1.6¢ | $0.02 | — | -$0.02 | 35% 235-434 (669) |
LI LightParadoxCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.7¢ | $11 | — | -$11 | 34% 610-1204 (1814) |
NM NM-PCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.4¢ | $0.9 | — | -$0.9 | 59% 3556-2431 (5987) |
LO lovedudleyCTR<$100 | Yesavg 2.7¢ | $27.03 | — | -$12.1 | — 2-10 (12) |
Invested
$121.41
Value
$123.51
PnL
+$2.1
Record
33%
589-1191 (1780)
Invested
$44.65
Value
$43.47
PnL
-$1.18
Record
33%
593-1215 (1808)
Invested
$38.01
Value
$20
PnL
-$18.01
Record
47%
508-580 (1088)
Invested
$4.92
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.08
Record
35%
622-1179 (1801)
Invested
$63.29
Value
$5
PnL
-$19.26
Record
48%
2320-2524 (4844)
Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
51%
2691-2616 (5307)
Invested
$0.02
Value
—
PnL
-$0.02
Record
35%
235-434 (669)
Invested
$11
Value
—
PnL
-$11
Record
34%
610-1204 (1814)
Invested
$0.9
Value
—
PnL
-$0.9
Record
59%
3556-2431 (5987)
Invested
$27.03
Value
—
PnL
-$12.1
Record
—
2-10 (12)