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UnderOverOverOverOverOver
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Over — but Under won instead.
Albania vs. Finland: Finland O/U 1.5
Resolved Under. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Over 80%
Total Value
$55.26
Combined PnL
-$32.61
Smart Money Signal
Over
5 of 6 top traders (83%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under1 trader
Total Value$55.26
Total Shares55
Combined PnL-$23.73
Over5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares45
Combined PnL-$8.88
Under — 17%Over — 83%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Underavg 92.4¢ | $78.99 | $55.26 | -$23.73 | 51% 2691-2616 (5307) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Overavg 19¢ | $3.8 | — | -$3.8 | 35% 622-1179 (1801) |
VE VenusianCTR<$100 | Overavg 20¢ | $1.66 | — | -$1.66 | 33% 593-1215 (1808) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Overavg 21¢ | $1.05 | — | -$1.05 | 41% 614-874 (1488) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Overavg 50¢ | $310 | — | +$0 | 82% 96-21 (117) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Overavg 21¢ | $2.37 | — | -$2.37 | 54% 1043-906 (1949) |
FL
Flaznorp<$100Invested
$78.99
Value
$55.26
PnL
-$23.73
Record
51%
2691-2616 (5307)
MA
MadridTimeCTR<$100Invested
$3.8
Value
—
PnL
-$3.8
Record
35%
622-1179 (1801)
VE
VenusianCTR<$100Invested
$1.66
Value
—
PnL
-$1.66
Record
33%
593-1215 (1808)
SE
sentrioCTR<$100Invested
$1.05
Value
—
PnL
-$1.05
Record
41%
614-874 (1488)
OV
overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTRInvested
$310
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
82%
96-21 (117)
GH
ghorrockCTR<$100Invested
$2.37
Value
—
PnL
-$2.37
Record
54%
1043-906 (1949)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x798628d0...ab64ef
Slug
unl-alb-fin-2026-11-12-team-total-away-1pt5