Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Finland β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Finland

Spread: Albania (-2.5)
Resolved Finland. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Finland. The smart money was right.
π
Won
19
Finland 58%
1 arb excluded
$11.9K
-$880.08
Smart Money Signal
11 of 19 top traders (58%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Finlandavg 70.7Β’ | $5.8K | $4.5K | $-1.4K | 55% 1693-1391 (3084) |
| β Finland leg | Finlandavg 70.7Β’ | $3.2K | $4.5K | +$1.3K | |
| β Albania leg | Albaniaavg 31.6Β’ | $2.7K | β | $-2.7K | |
FL Flaznorp | Finlandavg 66.7Β’ | $3.8K | $4.3K | +$490.67 | 51% 2643-2567 (5210) |
CI cigarettes | Finlandavg 68Β’ | $1.1K | $1.6K | +$497.72 | 53% 6255-5540 (11795) |
![]() RN1CTR | Albaniaavg 35.7Β’ | $1.3K | β | $-1.3K | 56% 4534-3502 (8036) |
![]() poshposh | Finlandavg 69.3Β’ | $394.01 | $568.86 | +$174.85 | 48% 591-648 (1239) |
0X 0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000 | Finlandavg 51.7Β’ | $264.02 | $510.52 | +$246.5 | 16% 21-112 (133) |
VE VenusianCTR | Albaniaavg 37.6Β’ | $456.02 | β | -$456.02 | 32% 565-1193 (1758) |
LI LightParadoxCTR | Albaniaavg 38.9Β’ | $351.6 | β | -$351.6 | 33% 587-1187 (1774) |
38 38791873984189CTR | Albaniaavg 44.7Β’ | $540.32 | β | -$291.12 | 48% 2306-2514 (4820) |
LR lryyy | Finlandavg 67.4Β’ | $79.31 | $110 | +$30.69 | 44% 432-543 (975) |
FO foooool<$100 | Finlandavg 87Β’ | $74 | $85.06 | +$11.06 | 38% 15-25 (40) |
![]() dips.<$100 | Finlandavg 94Β’ | $78.02 | $83 | +$4.98 | 45% 568-682 (1250) |
0X 0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382<$100 | Finlandavg 92.5Β’ | $71.22 | $77 | +$5.78 | 42% 98-135 (233) |
0X 0x6b25c5c4d1e681d2203297803793ad8c732b7a69<$100 | Finlandavg 53Β’ | $32.05 | $60.47 | +$28.42 | 54% 94-79 (173) |
SH shiifoo<$100 | Finlandavg 53Β’ | $30.5 | $57.55 | +$27.05 | 62% 1371-836 (2207) |
RO Rocky31<$100 | Finlandavg 67.2Β’ | $8.06 | $12 | +$3.94 | 31% 55-120 (175) |
GH ghorrockCTR<$100 | Albaniaavg 6.8Β’ | $2.14 | β | -$0.42 | 54% 1036-900 (1936) |
NO NotJumpCTR<$100 | Albaniaavg 38Β’ | $7.6 | β | -$7.6 | 54% 503-420 (923) |
![]() ARTEM-DZYUBACTR<$100 | Albaniaavg 36.6Β’ | $5.64 | β | -$5.64 | 83% 415-84 (499) |
FE ferdinand2CTR<$100 | Albaniaavg 31Β’ | $4.65 | β | -$4.65 | 49% 1313-1344 (2657) |
Invested
$5,838.61
Value
$4.5K
PnL
$-1.4K
Record
55%
1693-1391 (3084)
Both legs:
Invested
$3,790.78
Value
$4.3K
PnL
+$490.67
Record
51%
2643-2567 (5210)
Invested
$1,057.64
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$497.72
Record
53%
6255-5540 (11795)
RN1CTRInvested
$1,284.66
Value
β
PnL
$-1.3K
Record
56%
4534-3502 (8036)
poshposhInvested
$394.01
Value
$568.86
PnL
+$174.85
Record
48%
591-648 (1239)
Invested
$264.02
Value
$510.52
PnL
+$246.5
Record
16%
21-112 (133)
Invested
$456.02
Value
β
PnL
-$456.02
Record
32%
565-1193 (1758)
Invested
$351.6
Value
β
PnL
-$351.6
Record
33%
587-1187 (1774)
Invested
$540.32
Value
β
PnL
-$291.12
Record
48%
2306-2514 (4820)
Invested
$79.31
Value
$110
PnL
+$30.69
Record
44%
432-543 (975)
Invested
$74
Value
$85.06
PnL
+$11.06
Record
38%
15-25 (40)
dips.<$100Invested
$78.02
Value
$83
PnL
+$4.98
Record
45%
568-682 (1250)
Invested
$71.22
Value
$77
PnL
+$5.78
Record
42%
98-135 (233)
Invested
$32.05
Value
$60.47
PnL
+$28.42
Record
54%
94-79 (173)
Invested
$30.5
Value
$57.55
PnL
+$27.05
Record
62%
1371-836 (2207)
Invested
$8.06
Value
$12
PnL
+$3.94
Record
31%
55-120 (175)
Invested
$2.14
Value
β
PnL
-$0.42
Record
54%
1036-900 (1936)
Invested
$7.6
Value
β
PnL
-$7.6
Record
54%
503-420 (923)
ARTEM-DZYUBACTR<$100Invested
$5.64
Value
β
PnL
-$5.64
Record
83%
415-84 (499)
Invested
$4.65
Value
β
PnL
-$4.65
Record
49%
1313-1344 (2657)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
GoalLineGhost
ARBArbitrage β excluded
Flaznorp
Finland β $4.3K
cigarettes
Finland β $1.6K

RN1
CTRAlbania β $0

poshposh
Finland β $568.86
0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000
Finland β $510.52
Venusian
CTRAlbania β $0
LightParadox
CTRAlbania β $0
38791873984189
CTRAlbania β $0
lryyy
Finland β $110