Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Over — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over

O/U 2.5 Rounds

Resolved Over. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Over 75%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$5.5K

Combined PnL

$1.9K

Over

4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Over100%

Under0%

Over4 traders

Total Value$5.4K

Total Shares5,371

Combined PnL+$2.0K

Under1 trader

Total Value$0

Total Shares105

Combined PnL-$37.76

Over — 80%Under — 20%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
SI SineNooneEI	Overavg 63¢	$3.3K	$5.3K	+$1.9K	54% 638-534 (1172)
0X 0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382ARB<$100	Underavg 35.8¢	$206.74	$148	-$58.74	49% 389-413 (802)
└ Under leg	Underavg 35.8¢	$112.02	—	-$112.02
└ Over leg	Overavg 64¢	$94.72	$148	+$53.28
OM omnibus-076daa<$100	Overavg 64¢	$63.99	$99.98	+$35.99	46% 558-656 (1214)
MU Multicoloured-SerfCTR<$100	Underavg 36¢	$37.76	—	-$37.76	48% 670-715 (1385)
AM ameisgoat11<$100	Overavg 64¢	$11.85	$10	-$1.85	42% 740-1034 (1774)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singles	Overavg 50¢	$400	—	+$0	65% 140-74 (214)