Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was No — but Yes won instead.

Fight to Go the Distance?

Resolved Yes. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

No 75%

Total Value

$6.5K

Combined PnL

$2.3K

Smart Money Signal

No

7 of 9 top traders (78%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Yes100%

No0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes2 traders

Total Value$6.5K

Total Shares6,473

Combined PnL+$5.3K

No7 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares3,878

Combined PnL$-2.9K

Yes — 22%No — 78%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
billy578	Yesavg 19¢	$1,000	$5.3K	+$4.3K	— 2-0 (2)
0X 0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382	Yesavg 14.2¢	$221.67	$1.2K	+$987.36	48% 402-433 (835)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR	Noavg 30.3¢	$433.06	—	-$433.06	58% 3775-2737 (6512)
RO roscoffCTR	Noavg 80¢	$1.2K	—	$-1.2K	48% 42-45 (87)
GA GaditimaCTR	Noavg 85.9¢	$773.45	—	-$773.45	49% 333-346 (679)
VeryLucky888CTR	Noavg 82¢	$492.98	—	-$398.07	54% 1691-1455 (3146)
AC acorpCTR<$100	Noavg 60¢	$63.6	—	-$63.6	— 3-2 (5)
dips.CTR<$100	Noavg 10.6¢	$2.85	—	-$2.85	48% 1156-1264 (2420)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR	Noavg 50¢	$200	—	+$0	66% 141-74 (215)

Invested

$1,000

Value

$5.3K

PnL

+$4.3K

Record

—

2-0 (2)

0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382

Invested

$221.67

Value

$1.2K

PnL

+$987.36

Record

48%

402-433 (835)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR

Invested

$433.06

Value

—

PnL

-$433.06

Record

58%

3775-2737 (6512)

Invested

$1,245.31

Value

—

PnL

$-1.2K

Record

48%

42-45 (87)

Invested

$773.45

Value

—

PnL

-$773.45

Record

49%

333-346 (679)

VeryLucky888CTR

Invested

$492.98

Value

—

PnL

-$398.07

Record

54%

1691-1455 (3146)

Invested

$63.6

Value

—

PnL

-$63.6

Record

—

3-2 (5)

Invested

$2.85

Value

—

PnL

-$2.85

Record

48%

1156-1264 (2420)

overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR

Invested

$200

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

66%

141-74 (215)

Smart Money Signal

No

7 of 9 top traders (78%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x7eb34a7a...1354d6

Slug

ufc-lui12-bhasan-2026-11-14-go-the-distance

Traders in this Market

billy578

Yes — $5.3K

0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382

Yes — $1.2K

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

No — $0

roscoff

No — $0

Gaditima

No — $0

VeryLucky888

No — $0

acorp

No — $0

dips.

No — $0

overtimemarkets.xyz-singles

No — $0

Trade on Polymarket