Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Over β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over

O/U 2.5 Rounds
Resolved Over. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.
π
Won
7
Over 83%
1 arb excluded
$2.2K
$694.34
Smart Money Signal
5 of 7 top traders (71%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MU Multicoloured-Serf | Overavg 43Β’ | $691.9 | $1.6K | +$917.17 | 49% 650-689 (1339) |
OM omnibus-076daaARB<$100 | Overavg 42Β’ | $292.86 | $541.21 | +$248.35 | 46% 526-624 (1150) |
| β Over leg | Overavg 42Β’ | $227.31 | $541.21 | +$313.9 | |
| β Under leg | Underavg 57Β’ | $65.55 | β | -$65.55 | |
0X 0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382CTR | Underavg 54.7Β’ | $275.65 | β | -$275.65 | 47% 339-375 (714) |
BA Bagwell306<$100 | Overavg 40Β’ | $13.33 | $33.33 | +$20 | 33% 70-139 (209) |
OD Oddstorm<$100 | Overavg 43Β’ | $17.63 | $41 | +$23.37 | 33% 109-217 (326) |
0X 0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks<$100 | Overavg 45Β’ | $5.4 | $12 | +$6.6 | 53% 310-274 (584) |
AM ameisgoat11<$100 | Overavg 43Β’ | $2.15 | $5 | +$2.85 | 41% 708-1019 (1727) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR | Underavg 50Β’ | $400 | β | +$0 | 68% 136-63 (199) |
Invested
$691.9
Value
$1.6K
PnL
+$917.17
Record
49%
650-689 (1339)
Invested
$292.86
Value
$541.21
PnL
+$248.35
Record
46%
526-624 (1150)
Both legs:
Invested
$275.65
Value
β
PnL
-$275.65
Record
47%
339-375 (714)
Invested
$13.33
Value
$33.33
PnL
+$20
Record
33%
70-139 (209)
Invested
$17.63
Value
$41
PnL
+$23.37
Record
33%
109-217 (326)
Invested
$5.4
Value
$12
PnL
+$6.6
Record
53%
310-274 (584)
Invested
$2.15
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.85
Record
41%
708-1019 (1727)
Invested
$400
Value
β
PnL
+$0
Record
68%
136-63 (199)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
Multicoloured-Serf
Over β $1.6K
omnibus-076daa
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382
CTRUnder β $0
Bagwell306
Over β $33.33
Oddstorm
Over β $41
0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflks
Over β $12
ameisgoat11
Over β $5
overtimemarkets.xyz-singles
CTRUnder β $0