Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Over — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Over

O/U 2.5 Rounds

Resolved Over. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was right.

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Over 40%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$863.55

Combined PnL

$120.61

Over

2 of 7 top traders (29%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Over100%

Under0%

Over2 traders

Total Value$436.57

Total Shares437

Combined PnL+$150.76

Under5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares446

Combined PnL-$30.15

Over — 29%Under — 71%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
MU Multicoloured-SerfARB<$100	Overavg 64¢	$439.31	$426.98	-$12.33	48% 683-728 (1411)
└ Over leg	Overavg 64¢	$273.27	$426.98	+$153.71
└ Under leg	Underavg 31¢	$166.04	—	-$166.04
TO tomb2456	Overavg 64.8¢	$213.71	$329.57	+$115.86	57% 44-33 (77)
nacaradogolCTR<$100	Underavg 1¢	$3.74	—	-$3.74	41% 16-23 (39)
0X 0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382	Overavg 66¢	$72.1	$107	+$34.9	48% 416-456 (872)
NO NotJumpCTR<$100	Underavg 32¢	$16	—	-$16	51% 1007-981 (1988)
HY hydra1248CTR<$100	Underavg 34.8¢	$10.36	—	-$10.36	76% 212-68 (280)
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100	Underavg 35¢	$5.05	—	-$0.05	42% 775-1070 (1845)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR	Underavg 50¢	$400	—	+$0	66% 141-74 (215)