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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Fight to Go the Distance?

Resolved No. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

10

No 56%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$7.9K

Combined PnL

$-4.0K

Smart Money Signal

No

5 of 10 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%

No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Yes5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares12,503

Combined PnL$-4.1K

No5 traders

Total Value$7.7K

Total Shares7,650

Combined PnL+$176.8

Yes — 50%No — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
CA cavvvyCTR	Yesavg 34¢	$3.4K	—	$-3.4K	— 3-16 (19)
AN AnonymousPerson	Noavg 99.9¢	$7.1K	$7.1K	+$7.16	100% 20-0 (20)
CUTJALENHURTSCTR	Yesavg 30¢	$719.6	—	-$719.6	52% 2680-2503 (5183)
0X 0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382ARB<$100	Noavg 65¢	$227.03	$275.57	+$48.54	48% 435-473 (908)
└ No leg	Noavg 65¢	$179.22	$275.57	+$96.35
└ Yes leg	Yesavg 30.9¢	$47.81	—	-$47.81
GA Gaditima	Noavg 65.7¢	$398.7	$517.22	+$175.46	49% 359-370 (729)
dips.<$100	Noavg 95.8¢	$55.08	$33.75	-$21.33	48% 1236-1313 (2549)
alpheclabs2CTR	Yesavg 49¢	$122.38	—	-$10.51	45% 356-434 (790)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100	Yesavg 38.9¢	$18.3	—	-$18.3	58% 3865-2801 (6666)
VeryLucky888<$100	Noavg 63¢	$71.97	$24.89	+$14.48	53% 1770-1556 (3326)
TO tomb2456<$100	Noavg 66¢	$1.98	$3	+$1.02	55% 44-36 (80)
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR	Yesavg 50¢	$200	—	+$0	65% 142-77 (219)

Invested

$3,400.12

Value

—

PnL

$-3.4K

Record

—

3-16 (19)

AnonymousPerson

Invested

$7,064.34

Value

$7.1K

PnL

+$7.16

Record

100%

20-0 (20)

CUTJALENHURTSCTR

Invested

$719.6

Value

—

PnL

-$719.6

Record

52%

2680-2503 (5183)

0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382ARB<$100

Invested

$227.03

Value

$275.57

PnL

+$48.54

Record

48%

435-473 (908)

Both legs:

No$179.2265¢+$96.35

Yes$47.8130.9¢-$47.81

Invested

$398.7

Value

$517.22

PnL

+$175.46

Record

49%

359-370 (729)

Invested

$55.08

Value

$33.75

PnL

-$21.33

Record

48%

1236-1313 (2549)

Invested

$122.38

Value

—

PnL

-$10.51

Record

45%

356-434 (790)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100

Invested

$18.3

Value

—

PnL

-$18.3

Record

58%

3865-2801 (6666)

VeryLucky888<$100

Invested

$71.97

Value

$24.89

PnL

+$14.48

Record

53%

1770-1556 (3326)

Invested

$1.98

Value

$3

PnL

+$1.02

Record

55%

44-36 (80)

overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR

Invested

$200

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

65%

142-77 (219)

Smart Money Signal

No

5 of 10 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x56400df5...e38d31

Slug

ufc-ama1-kay4-2026-11-14-go-the-distance

Traders in this Market

cavvvy

Yes — $0

AnonymousPerson

No — $7.1K

CUTJALENHURTS

Yes — $0

0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382

Arbitrage — excluded

Gaditima

No — $517.22

dips.

No — $33.75

alpheclabs2

Yes — $0

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Yes — $0

VeryLucky888

No — $24.89

tomb2456

No — $3

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