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UnderOverUnderOverOverOver Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Over β but Under won instead.

RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: FC Red Bull Salzburg O/U 0.5
Resolved Under. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Over. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Over 80%
Total Value
$267.98
Combined PnL
$64.73
Smart Money Signal
Over
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Over0%
Under100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Under2 traders
Total Value$266.67
Total Shares267
Combined PnL+$211.8
Over4 traders
Total Value$1.32
Total Shares334
Combined PnL-$147.07
Under β 33%Over β 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SN SnakeBall | Underavg 25Β’ | $66.67 | $266.67 | +$200 | 51% 37678-36905 (74583) |
38 38791873984189CTR<$100 | Overavg 75Β’ | $75.32 | $1.32 | -$72.68 | 48% 61202-65999 (127201) |
FL Flaznorp<$100 | Underavg 55.7Β’ | $14.84 | β | +$11.8 | 51% 25776-24479 (50255) |
OM omnibus-076daaCTR<$100 | Overavg 76.9Β’ | $66.75 | β | -$66.75 | 50% 21199-21466 (42665) |
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100 | Overavg 1Β’ | $1.44 | β | -$1.44 | 50% 1337-1318 (2655) |
TO topdogbigboiCTR<$100 | Overavg 52.4Β’ | $6.19 | β | -$6.19 | 47% 11740-13459 (25199) |
SN
SnakeBallInvested
$66.67
Value
$266.67
PnL
+$200
Record
51%
37678-36905 (74583)
38
38791873984189CTR<$100Invested
$75.32
Value
$1.32
PnL
-$72.68
Record
48%
61202-65999 (127201)
FL
Flaznorp<$100Invested
$14.84
Value
β
PnL
+$11.8
Record
51%
25776-24479 (50255)
OM
omnibus-076daaCTR<$100Invested
$66.75
Value
β
PnL
-$66.75
Record
50%
21199-21466 (42665)
MA
MadridTimeCTR<$100Invested
$1.44
Value
β
PnL
-$1.44
Record
50%
1337-1318 (2655)
TO
topdogbigboiCTR<$100Invested
$6.19
Value
β
PnL
-$6.19
Record
47%
11740-13459 (25199)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1ac4fb92...4ff647
Slug
uel-and-rbs-2026-11-05-team-total-away-0pt5