Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)

15 of 18 top Polymarket traders hold Feyenoord Rotterdam (83%) · Feyenoord Rotterdam at 72¢ · $10K held · ends Nov 3

FC Internazionale Milano28¢Feyenoord Rotterdam72¢Ends Tue, Nov 3, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚖️

Neutral

Feyenoord Rotterdam

Consensus Traders

Feyenoord Rotterdam 83%

Total Value

$10.1K

Combined PnL

$124.38

Smart Money Entry

70¢ → 71.5¢

+2% since entry · 15 traders

Research grade

NeutralFeyenoord Rotterdam at 72%

No measured edge, which here means a loss: the plain consensus (5+ holders, 60 %+, held to resolution) lost −3.0 % a trade after costs out of sample in the full-year test (n 86,296, 95 % CI −3.6 to −2.4 %).

Spread or totalOct 22 backtest: spreads and totals −14.5 % a trade in spring (95 % CI −27 to −1), +1.5 % in October: no edge.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

The rules come from our Oct 22 2026 backtest (one entry per market, held to resolution, after a 1¢ half-spread and Polymarket's taker fees). Our full-year test without hindsight (Oct 26 2026) found none of them profitable out of sample, and the plain consensus lost −3.0 % a trade. The grade describes the market; it is not a forecast, not an edge and not advice.

Smart Money Signal

Feyenoord Rotterdam

15 of 18 top traders (83%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

FC Internazionale Milano28%

Feyenoord Rotterdam72%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Feyenoord Rotterdam15 traders

Total Value$9.5K

Total Shares13,248

Combined PnL+$119.81

FC Internazionale Milano3 traders

Total Value$609.84

Total Shares2,178

Combined PnL+$4.57

Feyenoord Rotterdam — 83%FC Internazionale Milano — 17%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

13 traders

Top 2 hold 54%

Freshness

Mature

14h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationBalanced

81% of non-arb traders are on Feyenoord Rotterdam. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 54% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleFeyenoord Rotterdam 60% · 5

Aligned

sharpFC Internazionale Milano 100% · 1

Diverging

ctrFeyenoord Rotterdam 60% · 5

Aligned

Hand-pickedFeyenoord Rotterdam 100% · 2

Aligned

Top 1000Feyenoord Rotterdam 80% · 15

Aligned

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FL Flaznorp	Feyenoord Rotterdamavg 70¢	$2.9K	$2.9K	+$15.82	51% 23399-22168 (45567)
GO GoalLineGhost	Feyenoord Rotterdamavg 69¢	$2.0K	$2.0K	+$56.32	50% 27298-27227 (54525)
VeryLucky888	Feyenoord Rotterdamavg 70¢	$2.2K	$1.9K	+$43.04	58% 44610-32488 (77098)
LI Limousin	Feyenoord Rotterdamavg 70.7¢	$1.5K	$1.5K	-$3.88	56% 942-736 (1678)
AN AnonymousUsernameCTR	FC Internazionale Milanoavg 29.3¢	$634.64	$606.84	+$4.72	71% 6981-2792 (9773)
LI LightParadox	Feyenoord Rotterdamavg 71¢	$332.99	$332.99	-$2.34	54% 906-787 (1693)
0X 0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080	Feyenoord Rotterdamavg 71¢	$284	$286	+$2	51% 1717-1639 (3356)
0xheavy888	Feyenoord Rotterdamavg 71¢	$142	$143	+$1	55% 7598-6093 (13691)
SN SnakeBall	Feyenoord Rotterdamavg 70¢	$134.4	$136.32	+$1.92	50% 35607-35082 (70689)
GH ghorrock	Feyenoord Rotterdamavg 69.8¢	$100.86	$94.45	+$1.26	58% 18597-13721 (32318)
0X 0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382<$100	Feyenoord Rotterdamavg 70¢	$70.4	$71.4	+$1.01	45% 10636-12803 (23439)
DA darkumbreon88<$100	Feyenoord Rotterdamavg 68¢	$51.46	$53.73	+$3.41	64% 1845-1027 (2872)
CA Cannae<$100	Feyenoord Rotterdamavg 70¢	$25.27	$25.63	+$0.18	53% 16384-14558 (30942)
VE Venusian<$100	Feyenoord Rotterdamavg 71¢	$19.17	$19.17	-$0.13	53% 916-813 (1729)
MA MadridTime<$100	Feyenoord Rotterdamavg 70¢	$17.64	$17.89	+$0.13	52% 830-771 (1601)
SE sentrio<$100	Feyenoord Rotterdamavg 70¢	$7	$7.1	+$0.1	50% 25247-24961 (50208)
SU suntoriCTR<$100	FC Internazionale Milanoavg 31¢	$1.77	$1.6	-$0.17	45% 13648-16581 (30229)
AM ameisgoat11CTR<$100	FC Internazionale Milanoavg 29¢	$1.45	$1.4	+$0.03	52% 8455-7711 (16166)

Flaznorp

Feyenoord Rotterdam

Invested

$2,862.5

Value

$2.9K

PnL

+$15.82

Record

51%

23399-22168 (45567)

GoalLineGhost

Feyenoord Rotterdam

Invested

$1,969.51

Value

$2.0K

PnL

+$56.32

Record

50%

27298-27227 (54525)

VeryLucky888

Feyenoord Rotterdam

Invested

$2,167.61

Value

$1.9K

PnL

+$43.04

Record

58%

44610-32488 (77098)

Limousin

Feyenoord Rotterdam

Invested

$1,533.48

Value

$1.5K

PnL

-$3.88

Record

56%

942-736 (1678)

AnonymousUsernameCTR

FC Internazionale Milano

Invested

$634.64

Value

$606.84

PnL

+$4.72

Record

71%

6981-2792 (9773)

LightParadox

Feyenoord Rotterdam

Invested

$332.99

Value

$332.99

PnL

-$2.34

Record

54%

906-787 (1693)

0x760907C8840491c8C86fdDB843D3f1d801786C4e-1771959662080

Feyenoord Rotterdam

Invested

$284

Value

$286

PnL

+$2

Record

51%

1717-1639 (3356)

0xheavy888

Feyenoord Rotterdam

Invested

$142

Value

$143

PnL

+$1

Record

55%

7598-6093 (13691)

SnakeBall

Feyenoord Rotterdam

Invested

$134.4

Value

$136.32

PnL

+$1.92

Record

50%

35607-35082 (70689)

ghorrock

Feyenoord Rotterdam

Invested

$100.86

Value

$94.45

PnL

+$1.26

Record

58%

18597-13721 (32318)

0x99F0d31fdced5B3A0e5Ee2867730A6644a6C9495-1779037126382<$100

Feyenoord Rotterdam

Invested

$70.4

Value

$71.4

PnL

+$1.01

Record

45%

10636-12803 (23439)

darkumbreon88<$100

Feyenoord Rotterdam

Invested

$51.46

Value

$53.73

PnL

+$3.41

Record

64%

1845-1027 (2872)

Cannae<$100

Feyenoord Rotterdam

Invested

$25.27

Value

$25.63

PnL

+$0.18

Record

53%

16384-14558 (30942)

Venusian<$100

Feyenoord Rotterdam

Invested

$19.17

Value

$19.17

PnL

-$0.13

Record

53%

916-813 (1729)

MadridTime<$100

Feyenoord Rotterdam

Invested

$17.64

Value

$17.89

PnL

+$0.13

Record

52%

830-771 (1601)

sentrio<$100

Feyenoord Rotterdam

Invested

Value

$7.1

PnL

+$0.1

Record

50%

25247-24961 (50208)

suntoriCTR<$100

FC Internazionale Milano

Invested

$1.77

Value

$1.6

PnL

-$0.17

Record

45%

13648-16581 (30229)

ameisgoat11CTR<$100

FC Internazionale Milano

Invested

$1.45

Value

$1.4

PnL

+$0.03

Record

52%

8455-7711 (16166)

Research grade

NeutralFeyenoord Rotterdam at 72%

Spread or totalOct 22 backtest: spreads and totals −14.5 % a trade in spring (95 % CI −27 to −1), +1.5 % in October: no edge.
Favourite (60–95¢)Full year, out of sample: 0.70–0.90 lost −0.9 % a trade (n 26,050, 95 % CI −1.5 to −0.3): the least bad band, still a loss. The Oct 22 backtest's +0.4 % (n 4,327) was not confirmed.

Smart Money Signal

Feyenoord Rotterdam

15 of 18 top traders (83%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

13 traders

Top 2 hold 54%

Freshness

Mature

14h old

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationBalanced

81% of non-arb traders are on Feyenoord Rotterdam. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 54% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleFeyenoord Rotterdam 60% · 5

Aligned

sharpFC Internazionale Milano 100% · 1

Diverging

ctrFeyenoord Rotterdam 60% · 5

Aligned

Hand-pickedFeyenoord Rotterdam 100% · 2

Aligned

Top 1000Feyenoord Rotterdam 80% · 15

Aligned

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Feyenoord Rotterdam wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance73.5%

71.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$36.06

Max Loss

-$100.00

136.1

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.