Back to Markets
No
CoinTrickNo
clazzy1<$100No
ArmageddonRewardsBillyCTR<$100Yes
Istaroth<$100NoYes
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Yes
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 40.0 on October 30, 2026?
Resolved No. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
7
No 75%
Total Value
$1.8K
Combined PnL
$11.42
Smart Money Signal
No
4 of 7 top traders (57%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Yes0%
No100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
No4 traders
Total Value$1.8K
Total Shares1,759
Combined PnL+$13.42
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares2,000
Combined PnL-$2
No — 57%Yes — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907e | Noavg 99.9¢ | $1.5K | $1.5K | +$1.77 | 77% 259-76 (335) |
CoinTrick | Noavg 99.9¢ | $177.75 | $177.93 | +$0.18 | 97% 3234-83 (3317) |
clazzy1<$100 | Noavg 85.9¢ | $70.01 | $81.48 | +$11.47 | 62% 385-240 (625) |
ArmageddonRewardsBillyCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.3¢ | $5.88 | — | -$2 | 56% 15296-11843 (27139) |
Istaroth<$100 | Noavg 95.8¢ | — | — | +$0 | 20% 308-1212 (1520) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Yesavg 13.9¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15393-27456 (42849) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Yesavg 0.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 535-2427 (2962) |
0X
0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eInvested
$1,498.23
Value
$1.5K
PnL
+$1.77
Record
77%
259-76 (335)
CoinTrickInvested
$177.75
Value
$177.93
PnL
+$0.18
Record
97%
3234-83 (3317)
clazzy1<$100Invested
$70.01
Value
$81.48
PnL
+$11.47
Record
62%
385-240 (625)
ArmageddonRewardsBillyCTR<$100Invested
$5.88
Value
—
PnL
-$2
Record
56%
15296-11843 (27139)
Istaroth<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
20%
308-1212 (1520)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15393-27456 (42849)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
535-2427 (2962)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Condition ID
0x480a84f8...8abf7f
Slug
trump-approval-rating-at-least-40pt0-on-october-30-2026