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clazzy1YesYes
LornaPredictsCTR<$100No
IstarothCTR<$100NoNo
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 36.0 on October 30, 2026?
Resolved Yes. 40% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Yes 100%
Total Value
$749.1
Combined PnL
$23.07
Smart Money Signal
Yes
2 of 5 top traders (40%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Yes100%
No0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Yes2 traders
Total Value$749.1
Total Shares749
Combined PnL+$23.07
No3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares0
Combined PnL+$0
Yes — 40%No — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
clazzy1 | Yesavg 96.4¢ | $629.1 | $629.1 | +$22.95 | 62% 385-240 (625) |
0X 0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907e | Yesavg 99.9¢ | $119.88 | $120 | +$0.12 | 77% 259-76 (335) |
LornaPredictsCTR<$100 | Noavg 0.2¢ | — | — | +$0 | 18% 535-2427 (2962) |
IstarothCTR<$100 | Noavg 6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 20% 308-1212 (1520) |
XT xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100 | Noavg 14.6¢ | — | — | +$0 | 36% 15393-27456 (42849) |
clazzy1Invested
$629.1
Value
$629.1
PnL
+$22.95
Record
62%
385-240 (625)
0X
0x6fa70d26939b2075fcafd2db38099b42cf47907eInvested
$119.88
Value
$120
PnL
+$0.12
Record
77%
259-76 (335)
LornaPredictsCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
18%
535-2427 (2962)
IstarothCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
20%
308-1212 (1520)
XT
xtxpleasecallmeCTR<$100Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
36%
15393-27456 (42849)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xf90a0c27...2f04d4
Slug
trump-approval-rating-at-least-36pt0-on-october-30-2026