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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was No — and it was correct. Winning outcome: No

Will AS Trenčín win on 2026-11-07?

Resolved No. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held No. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

No 73%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$3.1K

Combined PnL

$77.6

Smart Money Signal

No

8 of 11 top traders (73%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes0%
No100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No8 traders
Total Value$3.0K
Total Shares3,022
Combined PnL+$137.42
Yes3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares152
Combined PnL-$59.82
No — 73%Yes — 27%
MA
MadridTime
No

Invested

$1,300.8

Value

$1.4K

PnL

+$76.32

Record

48%

1776-1912 (3688)

VE
Venusian
No

Invested

$634.47

Value

$676.66

PnL

+$42.19

Record

49%

1844-1936 (3780)

SN
SnakeBall
No

Invested

$425.4

Value

$460.39

PnL

+$34.99

Record

51%

38648-37820 (76468)

FL
Flaznorp
No

Invested

$325.33

Value

$291.63

PnL

-$33.7

Record

51%

27272-25818 (53090)

GO
GoalLineGhostARB<$100
Yes

Invested

$157.1

Value

$74.5

PnL

-$82.6

Record

50%

29172-29037 (58209)

Both legs:

Yes$83.716.7¢-$83.71
No$73.3898.5¢+$1.12
LI
Limousin
No

Invested

$135.58

Value

$145.83

PnL

+$10.25

Record

50%

1850-1866 (3716)

CA
Cannae<$100
No

Invested

$52.38

Value

$58.2

PnL

+$6.11

Record

53%

16963-15085 (32048)

dips.CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$50.19

Value

—

PnL

-$50.19

Record

47%

11040-12658 (23698)

AH
aHjCz<$100
No

Invested

$6.16

Value

$7

PnL

+$0.84

Record

36%

6093-11041 (17134)

SE
sentrio<$100
No

Invested

$4.55

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.42

Record

50%

26409-26025 (52434)

0X
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$8.33

Value

—

PnL

-$8.33

Record

64%

5377-2997 (8374)

VeryLucky888CTR<$100
Yes

Invested

$1.3

Value

—

PnL

-$1.3

Record

58%

47503-34297 (81800)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xc5a3abc4...ef2d9a
Slug
svk1-sba-tre-2026-11-07-tre

Traders in this Market

MA

MadridTime

No — $1.4K

+$76.32
VE

Venusian

No — $676.66

+$42.19
SN

SnakeBall

No — $460.39

+$34.99
FL

Flaznorp

No — $291.63

-$33.7
GO

GoalLineGhost

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

-$82.6
LI

Limousin

No — $145.83

+$10.25
CA

Cannae

No — $58.2

+$6.11

dips.

CTR

Yes — $0

-$50.19
AH

aHjCz

No — $7

+$0.84
SE

sentrio

No — $5

+$0.42
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