Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Yes — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Yes
Will Young Boys Bern win on 2026-11-07?
Resolved Yes. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held Yes. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Yes 33%
6 arb excluded
$20.5K
$3.6K
Smart Money Signal
4 of 14 top traders (29%)6 arbitrage traders dimmed10 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
FL FlaznorpARB<$100 | Noavg 53.6¢ | $7.8K | $3.2K | $-4.6K | 51% 27272-25818 (53090) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 53.6¢ | $5.8K | — | $-5.8K | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 60.7¢ | $1.9K | $3.2K | +$1.3K | |
 RN1 | Yesavg 67.7¢ | $6.5K | $8.8K | +$2.3K | 53% 63014-55227 (118241) |
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Noavg 51.2¢ | $3.0K | $1.9K | $-1.1K | 50% 29172-29037 (58209) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 51.2¢ | $1.6K | — | $-1.6K | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 73.3¢ | $1.4K | $1.9K | +$514.87 | |
0X 0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540ARB<$100 | Yesavg 87.7¢ | $2.2K | $2.5K | +$244.02 | 82% 2669-597 (3266) |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 87.7¢ | $2.2K | $2.5K | +$300.81 | |
| └ No leg | Noavg 4.6¢ | $56.79 | — | -$56.79 | |
 oieshfn345ARB<$100 | Noavg 29.3¢ | $1.1K | $819.46 | -$261.02 | 58% 2117-1562 (3679) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 29.3¢ | $770.36 | — | -$770.36 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 37.8¢ | $310.11 | $819.46 | +$509.35 | |
 dips.ARB<$100 | Yesavg 92.2¢ | $1.2K | $992.86 | -$169.08 | 47% 11040-12658 (23698) |
| └ No leg | Noavg 23.3¢ | $246.49 | — | -$246.49 | |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 92.2¢ | $915.46 | $992.86 | +$77.4 | |
RO Rocky31 | Yesavg 84.8¢ | $1.0K | $1.2K | +$182.82 | 75% 1985-674 (2659) |
UE uehehe7haha2hihia3jkst9ARB<$100 | Yesavg 91.7¢ | $866 | $933.44 | +$67.44 | 58% 413-298 (711) |
| └ Yes leg | Yesavg 91.7¢ | $855.96 | $933.44 | +$77.48 | |
| └ No leg | Noavg 4¢ | $10.04 | — | -$10.04 | |
0X 0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0CTR<$100 | Noavg 12.7¢ | $24.72 | — | -$24.72 | 64% 5377-2997 (8374) |
 VeryLucky888CTR<$100 | Noavg 49¢ | $92.6 | — | -$78.51 | 58% 47904-34520 (82424) |
CI cigarettesCTR<$100 | Noavg 1.7¢ | $2.5 | — | -$2.5 | 50% 59994-58808 (118802) |
PA pauleta23CTR<$100 | Noavg 22¢ | $28.69 | — | -$28.69 | 65% 24597-12971 (37568) |
AH aHjCzCTR<$100 | Noavg 1¢ | $1.18 | — | -$1.18 | 36% 6093-11041 (17134) |
SL SlickRick123CTR<$100 | Noavg 18¢ | $18.54 | — | -$18.54 | 48% 5549-6067 (11616) |
0X 0x7e1f9c90800E42806e242ABC5fcf26B571c79C27-1775842903107<$100 | Yesavg 95¢ | $76 | $80 | +$4 | 49% 2796-2925 (5721) |
LR lryyy<$100 | Yesavg 65¢ | $14.3 | $22 | +$7.7 | 47% 9585-10702 (20287) |
 rayvanmechelenCTR<$100 | Noavg 43¢ | $6.56 | — | -$6.94 | 53% 2699-2381 (5080) |
SE sentrioCTR<$100 | Noavg 46¢ | $2.3 | — | -$2.47 | 50% 26409-26025 (52434) |
 6kke1tCTR | Noavg 32.5¢ | $2.3K | — | +$1.3K | 46% 905-1067 (1972) |
OV overtimemarkets.xyz-singlesCTR<$100 | Noavg 50¢ | — | — | +$0 | — 1-0 (1) |
Invested
$7,767.3
Value
$3.2K
PnL
$-4.6K
Record
51%
27272-25818 (53090)
Both legs:
RN1Invested
$6,531.61
Value
$8.8K
PnL
+$2.3K
Record
53%
63014-55227 (118241)
Invested
$3,042.34
Value
$1.9K
PnL
$-1.1K
Record
50%
29172-29037 (58209)
Both legs:
Invested
$2,211.08
Value
$2.5K
PnL
+$244.02
Record
82%
2669-597 (3266)
Both legs:
oieshfn345ARB<$100Invested
$1,080.47
Value
$819.46
PnL
-$261.02
Record
58%
2117-1562 (3679)
Both legs:
dips.ARB<$100Invested
$1,161.95
Value
$992.86
PnL
-$169.08
Record
47%
11040-12658 (23698)
Both legs:
Invested
$1,022.29
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$182.82
Record
75%
1985-674 (2659)
Invested
$866
Value
$933.44
PnL
+$67.44
Record
58%
413-298 (711)
Both legs:
Invested
$24.72
Value
—
PnL
-$24.72
Record
64%
5377-2997 (8374)
VeryLucky888CTR<$100Invested
$92.6
Value
—
PnL
-$78.51
Record
58%
47904-34520 (82424)
Invested
$2.5
Value
—
PnL
-$2.5
Record
50%
59994-58808 (118802)
Invested
$28.69
Value
—
PnL
-$28.69
Record
65%
24597-12971 (37568)
Invested
$1.18
Value
—
PnL
-$1.18
Record
36%
6093-11041 (17134)
Invested
$18.54
Value
—
PnL
-$18.54
Record
48%
5549-6067 (11616)
Invested
$76
Value
$80
PnL
+$4
Record
49%
2796-2925 (5721)
Invested
$14.3
Value
$22
PnL
+$7.7
Record
47%
9585-10702 (20287)
rayvanmechelenCTR<$100Invested
$6.56
Value
—
PnL
-$6.94
Record
53%
2699-2381 (5080)
Invested
$2.3
Value
—
PnL
-$2.47
Record
50%
26409-26025 (52434)
6kke1tCTRInvested
$2,285.95
Value
—
PnL
+$1.3K
Record
46%
905-1067 (1972)
Invested
—
Value
—
PnL
+$0
Record
—
1-0 (1)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
Flaznorp
ARBArbitrage — excluded
RN1
Yes — $8.8K
GoalLineGhost
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540
ARBArbitrage — excluded
oieshfn345
ARBArbitrage — excluded
dips.
ARBArbitrage — excluded
Rocky31
Yes — $1.2K
uehehe7haha2hihia3jkst9
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xa85B3359D5e0BDCB925F6A2B94ddfBF6d403eb0
CTRNo — $0
VeryLucky888
CTRNo — $0