Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - November 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Up 75%
1 arb excluded
$559.31
-$88.38
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BL blue.birds | Upavg 60¢ | $127.62 | $144.33 | +$16.71 | 51% 12072-11547 (23619) |
PL ply-pm2CTR | Downavg 32.8¢ | $124.65 | — | -$124.65 | 51% 10526-9985 (20511) |
AS asdcaxz<$100 | Upavg 59.1¢ | $84.97 | $90.22 | +$5.25 | 47% 6525-7238 (13763) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 70.1¢ | $101.38 | $114.35 | +$12.97 | 56% 77387-59788 (137175) |
 pspspsps5ARB<$100 | Upavg 53.9¢ | $56.31 | $64.26 | +$7.96 | 45% 40086-48022 (88108) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 53.9¢ | $34.66 | $64.26 | +$29.6 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 39.7¢ | $21.65 | — | -$21.65 | |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 68.2¢ | $36.16 | $52.99 | +$16.83 | 55% 51660-42833 (94493) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 62¢ | $57.95 | $53.68 | -$4.27 | 65% 114575-61604 (176179) |
13 13897651<$100 | Upavg 59.5¢ | $43.15 | $39.48 | -$3.67 | 56% 8793-6866 (15659) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 39.6¢ | $7.55 | — | -$7.55 | 65% 130257-70136 (200393) |
Invested
$127.62
Value
$144.33
PnL
+$16.71
Record
51%
12072-11547 (23619)
Invested
$124.65
Value
—
PnL
-$124.65
Record
51%
10526-9985 (20511)
Invested
$84.97
Value
$90.22
PnL
+$5.25
Record
47%
6525-7238 (13763)
Invested
$101.38
Value
$114.35
PnL
+$12.97
Record
56%
77387-59788 (137175)
pspspsps5ARB<$100Invested
$56.31
Value
$64.26
PnL
+$7.96
Record
45%
40086-48022 (88108)
Both legs:
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$36.16
Value
$52.99
PnL
+$16.83
Record
55%
51660-42833 (94493)
Invested
$57.95
Value
$53.68
PnL
-$4.27
Record
65%
114575-61604 (176179)
Invested
$43.15
Value
$39.48
PnL
-$3.67
Record
56%
8793-6866 (15659)
Invested
$7.55
Value
—
PnL
-$7.55
Record
65%
130257-70136 (200393)