Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Down 75%
2 arb excluded
$465.26
-$24.67
Smart Money Signal
9 of 12 top traders (75%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AS asdcaxzARB<$100 | Downavg 72.9¢ | $144 | $147 | +$3 | 47% 6525-7238 (13763) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 72.9¢ | $107.15 | $147 | +$39.85 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 27¢ | $36.85 | — | -$36.85 | |
![]() pspspsps5ARB<$100 | Downavg 61.1¢ | $87.54 | $91.22 | +$3.68 | 45% 40086-48022 (88108) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 61.1¢ | $55.73 | $91.22 | +$35.5 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 21.2¢ | $31.81 | — | -$31.81 | |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 80¢ | $92.62 | $90.05 | -$2.58 | 51% 10526-9985 (20511) |
BL blue.birds<$100 | Downavg 69.7¢ | $28.1 | $24.8 | -$3.3 | 51% 12072-11547 (23619) |
13 13897651<$100 | Downavg 73.8¢ | $22.07 | $20 | -$2.07 | 56% 8793-6866 (15659) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $18.81 | $19 | +$0.19 | 66% 130591-67529 (198120) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 98.9¢ | $18.83 | $19.04 | +$0.21 | 61% 98591-62582 (161173) |
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 74.9¢ | $14.37 | $16.08 | +$1.71 | 49% 80962-84399 (165361) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 78.1¢ | $13.28 | $17 | +$3.72 | 56% 77387-59788 (137175) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 72.4¢ | $13.48 | $13.14 | +$0.78 | 65% 130257-70136 (200393) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Downavg 62.7¢ | $9.81 | $7.93 | -$1.88 | 65% 114575-61604 (176179) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 26.3¢ | $2.63 | — | -$2.63 | 56% 60523-47081 (107604) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 28.9¢ | $11.56 | — | -$11.56 | 48% 10588-11259 (21847) |
![]() MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 40.8¢ | $7.27 | — | -$7.27 | 55% 51660-42833 (94493) |
Invested
$144
Value
$147
PnL
+$3
Record
47%
6525-7238 (13763)
Both legs:
pspspsps5ARB<$100Invested
$87.54
Value
$91.22
PnL
+$3.68
Record
45%
40086-48022 (88108)
Both legs:
Invested
$92.62
Value
$90.05
PnL
-$2.58
Record
51%
10526-9985 (20511)
Invested
$28.1
Value
$24.8
PnL
-$3.3
Record
51%
12072-11547 (23619)
Invested
$22.07
Value
$20
PnL
-$2.07
Record
56%
8793-6866 (15659)
Invested
$18.81
Value
$19
PnL
+$0.19
Record
66%
130591-67529 (198120)
Invested
$18.83
Value
$19.04
PnL
+$0.21
Record
61%
98591-62582 (161173)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$14.37
Value
$16.08
PnL
+$1.71
Record
49%
80962-84399 (165361)
Invested
$13.28
Value
$17
PnL
+$3.72
Record
56%
77387-59788 (137175)
Invested
$13.48
Value
$13.14
PnL
+$0.78
Record
65%
130257-70136 (200393)
Invested
$9.81
Value
$7.93
PnL
-$1.88
Record
65%
114575-61604 (176179)
Invested
$2.63
Value
—
PnL
-$2.63
Record
56%
60523-47081 (107604)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$11.56
Value
—
PnL
-$11.56
Record
48%
10588-11259 (21847)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$7.27
Value
—
PnL
-$7.27
Record
55%
51660-42833 (94493)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
asdcaxz
ARBArbitrage — excluded

pspspsps5
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ply-pm2
Down — $90.05
blue.birds
Down — $24.8
13897651
Down — $20
asdaefef
Down — $19
asidjasiodja
Down — $19.04

OhioRiskManagement
Down — $16.08
uninformedfloww
Down — $17
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $13.14