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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Resolved Up. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Down 55%

Total Value

$281.55

Combined PnL

$1.26

Smart Money Signal

Down

6 of 11 top traders (55%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders
Total Value$281.55
Total Shares282
Combined PnL+$225.96
Down6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares362
Combined PnL-$224.71
Up — 45%Down — 55%
pspspsps5
Up

Invested

$19.78

Value

$142.99

PnL

+$123.22

Record

45%

40028-47949 (87977)

OhioRiskManagement
Up

Invested

$23.57

Value

$101.55

PnL

+$77.99

Record

49%

80875-84321 (165196)

BL
blue.birdsCTR
Down

Invested

$110.08

Value

—

PnL

-$110.08

Record

51%

11991-11459 (23450)

AS
asdcaxzCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$47.99

Value

—

PnL

-$47.99

Record

47%

6449-7132 (13581)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$9.47

Value

—

PnL

-$7.82

Record

65%

130132-70051 (200183)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Up

Invested

$4.25

Value

$13.52

PnL

+$9.27

Record

66%

130543-67485 (198028)

G-Penis-Monster<$100
Up

Invested

$3.56

Value

$10

PnL

+$6.44

Record

61%

46015-29175 (75190)

AS
asidjasiodja<$100
Up

Invested

$4.44

Value

$13.48

PnL

+$9.05

Record

61%

98514-62493 (161007)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$10.7

Value

—

PnL

-$10.7

Record

65%

114511-61547 (176058)

13
13897651CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$62.14

Value

—

PnL

-$7.59

Record

56%

8722-6811 (15533)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$40.53

Value

—

PnL

-$40.53

Record

51%

10412-9893 (20305)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x1c1b4e0e...1d692f
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793991600

Traders in this Market

pspspsps5

Up — $142.99

+$123.22

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $101.55

+$77.99
BL

blue.birds

CTR

Down — $0

-$110.08
AS

asdcaxz

CTR

Down — $0

-$47.99
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

CTR

Down — $0

-$7.82
AS

asdaefef

Up — $13.52

+$9.27

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $10

+$6.44
AS

asidjasiodja

Up — $13.48

+$9.05
AN

antsaslyku

CTR

Down — $0

-$10.7
13

13897651

CTR

Down — $0

-$7.59
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