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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Up 56%

Total Value

$159.58

Combined PnL

$38.26

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders

Total Value$159.58

Total Shares160

Combined PnL+$50.89

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares56

Combined PnL-$12.64

Down — 44%Up — 56%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2	Downavg 20.6¢	$36.13	$114.07	+$77.94	51% 8411-7930 (16341)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 55¢	$70.2	$30.55	-$29.9	65% 126454-67593 (194047)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 91¢	$7.91	$6.4	-$1.51	66% 127109-65406 (192515)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Upavg 9.4¢	$1.32	—	-$1.32	61% 96050-60547 (156597)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100	Downavg 49¢	$4.2	$8.57	+$4.37	58% 38498-27579 (66077)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 37¢	$1.85	—	-$1.85	52% 91321-85769 (177090)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Upavg 36.4¢	$3.75	—	-$3.75	55% 18379-14972 (33351)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 4.7¢	$0.81	—	-$0.81	46% 38677-45770 (84447)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 54¢	$4.91	—	-$4.91	65% 112572-59423 (171995)

Invested

$36.13

Value

$114.07

PnL

+$77.94

Record

51%

8411-7930 (16341)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$70.2

Value

$30.55

PnL

-$29.9

Record

65%

126454-67593 (194047)

Invested

$7.91

Value

$6.4

PnL

-$1.51

Record

66%

127109-65406 (192515)

asidjasiodjaCTR<$100

Invested

$1.32

Value

—

PnL

-$1.32

Record

61%

96050-60547 (156597)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100

Invested

$4.2

Value

$8.57

PnL

+$4.37

Record

58%

38498-27579 (66077)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$1.85

Value

—

PnL

-$1.85

Record

52%

91321-85769 (177090)

Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100

Invested

$3.75

Value

—

PnL

-$3.75

Record

55%

18379-14972 (33351)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$0.81

Value

—

PnL

-$0.81

Record

46%

38677-45770 (84447)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$4.91

Value

—

PnL

-$4.91

Record

65%

112572-59423 (171995)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x2619807b...ab2982

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1793562900

Traders in this Market

ply-pm2

Down — $114.07

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $30.55

asdaefef

Down — $6.4

asidjasiodja

Up — $0

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $8.57

dvasdkasodk

Up — $0

Kathod-Shi-14

Up — $0

pspspsps5

Up — $0

antsaslyku

Up — $0

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