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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - November 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 60%
Total Value
$83.36
Combined PnL
-$49.61
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$83.36
Total Shares83
Combined PnL+$12.02
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares88
Combined PnL-$61.63
Up — 33%Down — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 58.9¢ | $61.5 | $63.36 | +$3.22 | 65% 126454-67593 (194047) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 30¢ | $11.2 | $20 | +$8.8 | 64% 24882-13745 (38627) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 55.6¢ | $42.82 | — | -$42.82 | 51% 8411-7930 (16341) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 52.5¢ | $13.85 | — | -$13.85 | 55% 18379-14972 (33351) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 62¢ | $4.96 | — | -$4.96 | 66% 127109-65406 (192515) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 2¢ | $0 | — | -$0 | 59% 62677-43754 (106431) |
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$61.5
Value
$63.36
PnL
+$3.22
Record
65%
126454-67593 (194047)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$11.2
Value
$20
PnL
+$8.8
Record
64%
24882-13745 (38627)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$42.82
Value
—
PnL
-$42.82
Record
51%
8411-7930 (16341)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100Invested
$13.85
Value
—
PnL
-$13.85
Record
55%
18379-14972 (33351)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$4.96
Value
—
PnL
-$4.96
Record
66%
127109-65406 (192515)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0
Value
—
PnL
-$0
Record
59%
62677-43754 (106431)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x801ee1e2...482191
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793562000