Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
Resolved Down. 27% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
11
Down 27%
2 arb excluded
$939.37
-$36.26
Smart Money Signal
3 of 11 top traders (27%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 51.2Β’ | $519.08 | $495.01 | -$10.55 | 54% 4416-3739 (8155) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 51.2Β’ | $253.63 | $495.01 | +$243.25 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50Β’ | $250.21 | β | -$253.81 | |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Downavg 85Β’ | $197.54 | $232.52 | +$34.98 | 57% 4084-3020 (7104) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Upavg 23.6Β’ | $163.12 | $70 | -$93.12 | 49% 3753-3853 (7606) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 23.6Β’ | $114.34 | β | -$114.34 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 69.7Β’ | $48.78 | $70 | +$21.22 | |
PL ply-pm2 | Downavg 82.4Β’ | $106.34 | $88.39 | -$17.96 | 54% 2814-2386 (5200) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 86.6Β’ | $76.52 | $53.45 | -$23.07 | 49% 2596-2668 (5264) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 13.3Β’ | $5.6 | β | -$5.6 | 50% 1805-1831 (3636) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 18Β’ | $2.7 | β | -$2.7 | 44% 2501-3236 (5737) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 21Β’ | $1.62 | β | -$1.62 | 50% 2955-2954 (5909) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 18Β’ | $0.9 | β | -$0.9 | 43% 2221-2992 (5213) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 48Β’ | $7 | β | -$5.86 | 60% 4369-2959 (7328) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 19Β’ | $1.14 | β | -$1.14 | 48% 2616-2848 (5464) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 39.2Β’ | $9.8 | β | -$9.8 | 47% 2539-2808 (5347) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 17.3Β’ | $2.59 | β | -$2.59 | 48% 2635-2900 (5535) |
Invested
$519.08
Value
$495.01
PnL
-$10.55
Record
54%
4416-3739 (8155)
Both legs:
Invested
$197.54
Value
$232.52
PnL
+$34.98
Record
57%
4084-3020 (7104)
Invested
$163.12
Value
$70
PnL
-$93.12
Record
49%
3753-3853 (7606)
Both legs:
Invested
$106.34
Value
$88.39
PnL
-$17.96
Record
54%
2814-2386 (5200)
Invested
$76.52
Value
$53.45
PnL
-$23.07
Record
49%
2596-2668 (5264)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$5.6
Value
β
PnL
-$5.6
Record
50%
1805-1831 (3636)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$2.7
Value
β
PnL
-$2.7
Record
44%
2501-3236 (5737)
Invested
$1.62
Value
β
PnL
-$1.62
Record
50%
2955-2954 (5909)
Invested
$0.9
Value
β
PnL
-$0.9
Record
43%
2221-2992 (5213)
Invested
$7
Value
β
PnL
-$5.86
Record
60%
4369-2959 (7328)
Invested
$1.14
Value
β
PnL
-$1.14
Record
48%
2616-2848 (5464)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$9.8
Value
β
PnL
-$9.8
Record
47%
2539-2808 (5347)
Invested
$2.59
Value
β
PnL
-$2.59
Record
48%
2635-2900 (5535)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down β $232.52
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
ARBArbitrage β excluded
ply-pm2
Down β $88.39
uninformedfloww
Down β $53.45

cryingbabydicer87
CTRUp β $0

G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp β $0
dvasdkasodk
CTRUp β $0
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
CTRUp β $0
aaa221
CTRUp β $0