Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Down 63%
1 arb excluded
$1.3K
$35.09
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 77.9Β’ | $606.86 | $651.49 | +$47.53 | 49% 3684-3801 (7485) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.1Β’ | $506.8 | $501.78 | +$2.65 | 54% 4350-3681 (8031) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50.1Β’ | $251.23 | $501.78 | +$250.55 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 49.1Β’ | $245.74 | β | -$247.9 | |
HO hoodquant | Downavg 99Β’ | $99 | $100 | +$1 | 98% 4630-97 (4727) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 73.4Β’ | $31.28 | $30 | +$8.1 | 54% 2777-2356 (5133) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 79.3Β’ | $9.55 | $7.38 | -$2.17 | 49% 2572-2644 (5216) |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 6.5Β’ | $4.5 | β | -$4.5 | 44% 2472-3195 (5667) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 85Β’ | $5.1 | $6 | +$0.9 | 43% 2188-2930 (5118) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Upavg 9.3Β’ | $16.55 | β | -$16.55 | 58% 4041-2969 (7010) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 19Β’ | $1.33 | β | -$1.33 | 50% 2915-2911 (5826) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 27Β’ | $4.77 | β | +$2.12 | 60% 4328-2942 (7270) |
Invested
$606.86
Value
$651.49
PnL
+$47.53
Record
49%
3684-3801 (7485)
Invested
$506.8
Value
$501.78
PnL
+$2.65
Record
54%
4350-3681 (8031)
Both legs:
Invested
$99
Value
$100
PnL
+$1
Record
98%
4630-97 (4727)
Invested
$31.28
Value
$30
PnL
+$8.1
Record
54%
2777-2356 (5133)
Invested
$9.55
Value
$7.38
PnL
-$2.17
Record
49%
2572-2644 (5216)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$4.5
Value
β
PnL
-$4.5
Record
44%
2472-3195 (5667)
Invested
$5.1
Value
$6
PnL
+$0.9
Record
43%
2188-2930 (5118)
Invested
$16.55
Value
β
PnL
-$16.55
Record
58%
4041-2969 (7010)
Invested
$1.33
Value
β
PnL
-$1.33
Record
50%
2915-2911 (5826)
Invested
$4.77
Value
β
PnL
+$2.12
Record
60%
4328-2942 (7270)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down β $651.49
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
hoodquant
Down β $100
ply-pm2
Down β $30
uninformedfloww
Down β $7.38

G-Penis-Monster
CTRUp β $0
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Down β $6
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
CTRUp β $0
dvasdkasodk
CTRUp β $0
aaa221
CTRUp β $0