Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
7
Down 57%
2 arb excluded
$845.88
-$1.72
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 49.5Β’ | $509.62 | $490 | -$6.15 | 54% 4250-3596 (7846) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50Β’ | $245 | $490 | +$246.3 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 49.5Β’ | $249.73 | β | -$252.45 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Downavg 54.1Β’ | $209.58 | $197.29 | -$12.28 | 49% 3629-3731 (7360) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 54.1Β’ | $106.66 | $197.29 | +$90.63 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50.9Β’ | $102.91 | β | -$102.91 | |
![]() BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $69.48 | $70.18 | +$0.7 | 70% 1846-795 (2641) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 58.7Β’ | $70.31 | $55.41 | -$1.63 | 54% 2727-2307 (5034) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Downavg 46.6Β’ | $12.59 | $27 | +$14.41 | 58% 4015-2933 (6948) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 79Β’ | $17.94 | β | -$15.94 | 60% 4264-2896 (7160) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 34Β’ | $2.04 | $6 | +$3.96 | 42% 2109-2870 (4979) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100 | Upavg 50Β’ | $1 | β | -$1 | 51% 2193-2101 (4294) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 33Β’ | $2.22 | β | -$2.22 | 50% 2856-2850 (5706) |
Invested
$509.62
Value
$490
PnL
-$6.15
Record
54%
4250-3596 (7846)
Both legs:
Invested
$209.58
Value
$197.29
PnL
-$12.28
Record
49%
3629-3731 (7360)
Both legs:
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$69.48
Value
$70.18
PnL
+$0.7
Record
70%
1846-795 (2641)
Invested
$70.31
Value
$55.41
PnL
-$1.63
Record
54%
2727-2307 (5034)
Invested
$12.59
Value
$27
PnL
+$14.41
Record
58%
4015-2933 (6948)
Invested
$17.94
Value
β
PnL
-$15.94
Record
60%
4264-2896 (7160)
Invested
$2.04
Value
$6
PnL
+$3.96
Record
42%
2109-2870 (4979)
Invested
$1
Value
β
PnL
-$1
Record
51%
2193-2101 (4294)
Invested
$2.22
Value
β
PnL
-$2.22
Record
50%
2856-2850 (5706)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
ARBArbitrage β excluded

BoneOhio
Down β $70.18
ply-pm2
Down β $55.41
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down β $27
aaa221
CTRUp β $0
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Down β $6
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518
CTRUp β $0
dvasdkasodk
CTRUp β $0