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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 45% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Up 45%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.1K

Combined PnL

-$164.49

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 11 top traders (45%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders

Total Value$562.03

Total Shares562

Combined PnL-$53.68

Down6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares198

Combined PnL-$110.8

Up — 45%Down — 55%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 49.4¢	$513.12	$497.15	-$6.11	54% 4250-3596 (7846)
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.5¢	$245.99	$497.15	+$248.32
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.4¢	$254.2	—	-$254.43
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 68.3¢	$595.88	$498.81	-$97.08	49% 3629-3731 (7360)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 42.5¢	$97.98	—	-$91.45	54% 2727-2307 (5034)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 26.8¢	$10.52	$18.67	+$13.22	47% 2455-2714 (5169)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Upavg 27¢	$6.2	$15.56	+$9.36	43% 2420-3146 (5566)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100	Upavg 29.6¢	$6.8	$23	+$16.2	58% 4015-2933 (6948)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 20.3¢	$4.92	—	-$4.92	50% 2856-2850 (5706)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 23.5¢	$3.53	—	-$3.53	48% 2561-2807 (5368)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 23¢	$1.38	$6	+$4.62	42% 2109-2870 (4979)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 8¢	$2	—	-$2	49% 2514-2591 (5105)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 60¢	$3	—	-$3	60% 4264-2896 (7160)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 23.6¢	$5.9	—	-$5.9	48% 2538-2754 (5292)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$513.12

Value

$497.15

PnL

-$6.11

Record

54%

4250-3596 (7846)

Both legs:

Up$245.9949.5¢+$248.32

Down$254.249.4¢-$254.43

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$595.88

Value

$498.81

PnL

-$97.08

Record

49%

3629-3731 (7360)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$97.98

Value

—

PnL

-$91.45

Record

54%

2727-2307 (5034)

Invested

$10.52

Value

$18.67

PnL

+$13.22

Record

47%

2455-2714 (5169)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$6.2

Value

$15.56

PnL

+$9.36

Record

43%

2420-3146 (5566)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100

Invested

$6.8

Value

$23

PnL

+$16.2

Record

58%

4015-2933 (6948)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$4.92

Value

—

PnL

-$4.92

Record

50%

2856-2850 (5706)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$3.53

Value

—

PnL

-$3.53

Record

48%

2561-2807 (5368)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$1.38

Value

$6

PnL

+$4.62

Record

42%

2109-2870 (4979)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$2

Value

—

PnL

-$2

Record

49%

2514-2591 (5105)

Invested

$3

Value

—

PnL

-$3

Record

60%

4264-2896 (7160)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$5.9

Value

—

PnL

-$5.9

Record

48%

2538-2754 (5292)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 11 top traders (45%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x57aed83e...f60eca

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1794764700

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $498.81

ply-pm2

Down — $0

ohioism

Up — $18.67

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $15.56

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $23

dvasdkasodk

Down — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $0

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $6

uninformedfloww

Down — $0

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