Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Resolved Down. 58% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

12

Down 58%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$889.87

Combined PnL

-$109.06

Smart Money Signal

Down

7 of 12 top traders (58%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down7 traders
Total Value$389.88
Total Shares390
Combined PnL-$87.29
Up5 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares102
Combined PnL-$21.77
Down — 58%Up — 42%
BY
ByteBadger92ARB<$100
Down

Invested

$510.41

Value

$499.99

PnL

+$8.04

Record

54%

4218-3562 (7780)

Both legs:

Up$244.5148.9¢-$244.8
Down$251.150.2¢+$252.85
0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down

Invested

$263.96

Value

$170.82

PnL

-$79.14

Record

49%

3629-3730 (7359)

PL
ply-pm2
Down

Invested

$161.94

Value

$119.31

PnL

-$23.01

Record

54%

2708-2292 (5000)

0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100
Down

Invested

$52.1

Value

$65

PnL

+$12.9

Record

58%

4006-2920 (6926)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$6.67

Value

—

PnL

-$6.67

Record

49%

1742-1781 (3523)

0X
0x50f7<$100
Down

Invested

$19.3

Value

$19.32

PnL

+$0.02

Record

53%

1595-1405 (3000)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100
Down

Invested

$5.53

Value

$12

PnL

+$6.47

Record

42%

2086-2846 (4932)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$4.1

Value

—

PnL

-$4.1

Record

49%

2495-2563 (5058)

ohioismCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.8

Value

—

PnL

-$2.8

Record

48%

2440-2688 (5128)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Down

Invested

$3.35

Value

$2.41

PnL

+$0.03

Record

48%

2544-2786 (5330)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$11.18

Value

$1.02

PnL

-$4.56

Record

60%

4239-2880 (7119)

BoneOhioCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$5.5

Value

—

PnL

-$5.5

Record

70%

1831-785 (2616)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.7

Value

—

PnL

-$2.7

Record

50%

2835-2829 (5664)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x1c16df6b...19ba66
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1794761100

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

ARB

Arbitrage — excluded

+$8.04
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $170.82

-$79.14
PL

ply-pm2

Down — $119.31

-$23.01
0X

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $65

+$12.9

cryingbabydicer87

CTR

Up — $0

-$6.67
0X

0x50f7

Down — $19.32

+$0.02
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $12

+$6.47
UN

uninformedfloww

CTR

Up — $0

-$4.1

ohioism

CTR

Up — $0

-$2.8
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $2.41

+$0.03
Trade on Polymarket