Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET

Resolved Down. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Up 73%

Total Value

$150.86

Combined PnL

-$997.82

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 11 top traders (73%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares1,102
Combined PnL$-1.1K
Down3 traders
Total Value$150.86
Total Shares151
Combined PnL+$65.21
Up — 73%Down — 27%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$510.67

Value

—

PnL

-$493.11

Record

54%

4218-3562 (7780)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR
Up

Invested

$277.33

Value

—

PnL

-$277.33

Record

49%

3629-3730 (7359)

0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100
Down

Invested

$30.37

Value

$77

PnL

+$46.63

Record

58%

4006-2920 (6926)

cryingbabydicer87<$100
Down

Invested

$44.81

Value

$44.71

PnL

+$0

Record

49%

1742-1781 (3523)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR
Up

Invested

$242.31

Value

—

PnL

-$240.96

Record

42%

2086-2846 (4932)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$10.57

Value

$29.15

PnL

+$18.58

Record

60%

4239-2880 (7119)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$38.75

Value

—

PnL

-$38.75

Record

49%

2495-2563 (5058)

ohioismCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.49

Value

—

PnL

-$0.49

Record

48%

2440-2688 (5128)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.13

Value

—

PnL

-$2.13

Record

48%

2544-2786 (5330)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.45

Value

—

PnL

-$0.45

Record

48%

2518-2730 (5248)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$12.77

Value

—

PnL

-$9.81

Record

54%

2708-2292 (5000)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0x953fb909...da65e1
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1794760200

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$493.11
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

CTR

Up — $0

-$277.33
0X

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $77

+$46.63

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $44.71

+$0
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

CTR

Up — $0

-$240.96
AA

aaa221

Down — $29.15

+$18.58
UN

uninformedfloww

CTR

Up — $0

-$38.75

ohioism

CTR

Up — $0

-$0.49
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

CTR

Up — $0

-$2.13
0X

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

CTR

Up — $0

-$0.45
Trade on Polymarket