Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
Resolved Down. 22% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
9
Down 22%
1 arb excluded
$886.21
$90.58
Smart Money Signal
2 of 9 top traders (22%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed7 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 49.7Β’ | $523.63 | $500 | -$3.6 | 54% 4162-3504 (7666) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50Β’ | $250.21 | $500 | +$250.7 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 49.7Β’ | $253.47 | β | -$254.3 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 49.3Β’ | $185.62 | $230.66 | +$49.14 | 49% 3600-3701 (7301) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Downavg 52.2Β’ | $81.26 | $155.55 | +$74.29 | 58% 3986-2906 (6892) |
PL ply-pm2CTR | Upavg 34Β’ | $101.85 | β | -$24.7 | 54% 2675-2263 (4938) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 18.5Β’ | $1.85 | β | -$1.85 | 48% 2407-2652 (5059) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 23.2Β’ | $1.42 | β | -$1.42 | 49% 1730-1766 (3496) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 45Β’ | $0.92 | β | -$0.92 | 60% 4192-2848 (7040) |
![]() BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 11Β’ | $0.12 | β | -$0.12 | 70% 1807-771 (2578) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 15Β’ | $1.44 | β | -$1.44 | 50% 2795-2794 (5589) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 40Β’ | $2.4 | β | -$2.4 | 42% 2048-2798 (4846) |
Invested
$523.63
Value
$500
PnL
-$3.6
Record
54%
4162-3504 (7666)
Both legs:
Invested
$185.62
Value
$230.66
PnL
+$49.14
Record
49%
3600-3701 (7301)
Invested
$81.26
Value
$155.55
PnL
+$74.29
Record
58%
3986-2906 (6892)
Invested
$101.85
Value
β
PnL
-$24.7
Record
54%
2675-2263 (4938)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.85
Value
β
PnL
-$1.85
Record
48%
2407-2652 (5059)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$1.42
Value
β
PnL
-$1.42
Record
49%
1730-1766 (3496)
Invested
$0.92
Value
β
PnL
-$0.92
Record
60%
4192-2848 (7040)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$0.12
Value
β
PnL
-$0.12
Record
70%
1807-771 (2578)
Invested
$1.44
Value
β
PnL
-$1.44
Record
50%
2795-2794 (5589)
Invested
$2.4
Value
β
PnL
-$2.4
Record
42%
2048-2798 (4846)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down β $230.66
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down β $155.55
ply-pm2
CTRUp β $0

ohioism
CTRUp β $0

cryingbabydicer87
CTRUp β $0
aaa221
CTRUp β $0

BoneOhio
CTRUp β $0
dvasdkasodk
CTRUp β $0
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
CTRUp β $0