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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Resolved Down. 89% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Down 89%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$999.52

Combined PnL

$142.06

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 9 top traders (89%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down8 traders

Total Value$499.52

Total Shares500

Combined PnL+$146.52

Up1 trader

Total Value$0

Total Shares11

Combined PnL-$4.46

Down — 89%Up — 11%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50.3¢	$510.59	$500	-$1.2	54% 4162-3504 (7666)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.3¢	$251.27	$500	+$249.4
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.9¢	$249.3	—	-$250.6
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Downavg 51.4¢	$135.03	$209.73	+$74.7	49% 3600-3701 (7301)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Downavg 99.9¢	$84.6	$84.68	+$0.08	53% 1576-1397 (2973)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 64¢	$45.46	$60.4	+$22.59	60% 4192-2848 (7040)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100	Downavg 71.9¢	$47.6	$61.6	+$14	58% 3986-2906 (6892)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 64.6¢	$26.81	$41.49	+$14.68	54% 2675-2263 (4938)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Downavg 66¢	$16.5	$25	+$8.5	49% 2456-2514 (4970)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Upavg 40.5¢	$4.46	—	-$4.46	42% 2048-2798 (4846)
G-Penis-Monster<$100	Downavg 28¢	$4.2	$15	+$10.8	44% 2374-3081 (5455)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 28¢	$0.46	$1.63	+$1.17	48% 2509-2762 (5271)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$510.59

Value

$500

PnL

-$1.2

Record

54%

4162-3504 (7666)

Both legs:

Down$251.2750.3¢+$249.4

Up$249.349.9¢-$250.6

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$135.03

Value

$209.73

PnL

+$74.7

Record

49%

3600-3701 (7301)

Invested

$84.6

Value

$84.68

PnL

+$0.08

Record

53%

1576-1397 (2973)

Invested

$45.46

Value

$60.4

PnL

+$22.59

Record

60%

4192-2848 (7040)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100

Invested

$47.6

Value

$61.6

PnL

+$14

Record

58%

3986-2906 (6892)

Invested

$26.81

Value

$41.49

PnL

+$14.68

Record

54%

2675-2263 (4938)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$16.5

Value

$25

PnL

+$8.5

Record

49%

2456-2514 (4970)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$4.46

Value

—

PnL

-$4.46

Record

42%

2048-2798 (4846)

G-Penis-Monster<$100

Invested

$4.2

Value

$15

PnL

+$10.8

Record

44%

2374-3081 (5455)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$0.46

Value

$1.63

PnL

+$1.17

Record

48%

2509-2762 (5271)

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 9 top traders (89%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x22cade82...7fc08b

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1794754800

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $209.73

0x50f7

Down — $84.68

aaa221

Down — $60.4

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $61.6

ply-pm2

Down — $41.49

uninformedfloww

Down — $25

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $15

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $1.63

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