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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET

Resolved Up. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

7

Up 43%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$718.6

Combined PnL

$6.05

Smart Money Signal

Up

3 of 7 top traders (43%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up3 traders

Total Value$218.6

Total Shares219

Combined PnL+$16.87

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares74

Combined PnL-$10.83

Up — 43%Down — 57%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 49.5¢	$502.2	$500	-$2.2	54% 4065-3413 (7478)
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.5¢	$252.2	—	-$252.2
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$250	$500	+$250
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 91.4¢	$162.67	$174.05	+$11.38	49% 3541-3613 (7154)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 81.2¢	$30.71	$25.55	+$0.62	54% 2631-2208 (4839)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100	Upavg 74.3¢	$14.12	$19	+$4.88	58% 3957-2883 (6840)
SU suntoriCTR<$100	Downavg 37¢	$4.67	—	-$4.67	46% 3188-3736 (6924)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 16.8¢	$4.46	—	-$4.46	42% 1993-2712 (4705)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$0.2	—	-$0.2	36% 1451-2565 (4016)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 10¢	$1.5	—	-$1.5	48% 2357-2599 (4956)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$502.2

Value

$500

PnL

-$2.2

Record

54%

4065-3413 (7478)

Both legs:

Down$252.249.5¢-$252.2

Up$25050¢+$250

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$162.67

Value

$174.05

PnL

+$11.38

Record

49%

3541-3613 (7154)

Invested

$30.71

Value

$25.55

PnL

+$0.62

Record

54%

2631-2208 (4839)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100

Invested

$14.12

Value

$19

PnL

+$4.88

Record

58%

3957-2883 (6840)

suntoriCTR<$100

Invested

$4.67

Value

—

PnL

-$4.67

Record

46%

3188-3736 (6924)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$4.46

Value

—

PnL

-$4.46

Record

42%

1993-2712 (4705)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.2

Value

—

PnL

-$0.2

Record

36%

1451-2565 (4016)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$1.5

Value

—

PnL

-$1.5

Record

48%

2357-2599 (4956)

Smart Money Signal

Up

3 of 7 top traders (43%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x4a25d6cc...826426

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1794744900

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $174.05

ply-pm2

Up — $25.55

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $19

suntori

Down — $0

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $0

antsaslyku

Down — $0

ohioism

Down — $0

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