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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Resolved Up. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Down 38%

Total Value

$436.67

Combined PnL

-$576.23

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 9 top traders (44%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares532

Combined PnL-$499.49

Up5 traders

Total Value$436.67

Total Shares437

Combined PnL-$76.74

Down — 44%Up — 56%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Downavg 49.2¢	$519.48	—	-$488.52	54% 4065-3413 (7478)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 75.1¢	$290.99	$271.71	-$19.28	49% 3541-3613 (7154)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Upavg 79.5¢	$166.99	$107	-$56.04	58% 3957-2883 (6840)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 74.8¢	$87.35	$48.96	-$7.21	54% 2631-2208 (4839)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 38.4¢	$9.61	—	-$9.61	48% 2357-2599 (4956)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 27¢	$1.62	$6	+$4.38	42% 1993-2712 (4705)
BoneOhio<$100	Upavg 53¢	$1.59	$3	+$1.41	70% 1777-756 (2533)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Downavg 19¢	$1.33	—	-$1.33	49% 1701-1739 (3440)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 82¢	$0.03	—	-$0.03	60% 4116-2795 (6911)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$519.48

Value

—

PnL

-$488.52

Record

54%

4065-3413 (7478)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$290.99

Value

$271.71

PnL

-$19.28

Record

49%

3541-3613 (7154)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$166.99

Value

$107

PnL

-$56.04

Record

58%

3957-2883 (6840)

Invested

$87.35

Value

$48.96

PnL

-$7.21

Record

54%

2631-2208 (4839)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$9.61

Value

—

PnL

-$9.61

Record

48%

2357-2599 (4956)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$1.62

Value

$6

PnL

+$4.38

Record

42%

1993-2712 (4705)

Invested

$1.59

Value

$3

PnL

+$1.41

Record

70%

1777-756 (2533)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$1.33

Value

—

PnL

-$1.33

Record

49%

1701-1739 (3440)

Invested

$0.03

Value

—

PnL

-$0.03

Record

60%

4116-2795 (6911)

Smart Money Signal

Down

4 of 9 top traders (44%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x204df04c...8411cd

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1794744000

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $271.71

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $107

ply-pm2

Up — $48.96

ohioism

Down — $0

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $6

BoneOhio

Up — $3

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $0

aaa221

Down — $0

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