Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
10
Down 50%
1 arb excluded
$642.61
-$11.45
Smart Money Signal
5 of 10 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 49.8Β’ | $504.1 | $495.66 | -$6.14 | 54% 4065-3413 (7478) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 49.8Β’ | $254.1 | β | -$254.1 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50Β’ | $247.83 | $495.66 | +$247.96 | |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 82.6Β’ | $57.31 | $52.13 | -$5.18 | 54% 2631-2208 (4839) |
SU suntori<$100 | Downavg 47.7Β’ | $31.21 | $65.41 | +$34.2 | 46% 3188-3736 (6924) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 22.1Β’ | $19.97 | β | -$19.97 | 49% 1701-1739 (3440) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $18.07 | $16.53 | +$8.45 | 60% 4116-2795 (6911) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 42.5Β’ | $5.1 | $10.77 | +$6.84 | 42% 1993-2712 (4705) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100 | Upavg 42.5Β’ | $7.54 | β | -$7.54 | 48% 2459-2704 (5163) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $2.09 | $2.11 | +$0.02 | 98% 4326-89 (4415) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 9Β’ | $1.2 | β | -$1.2 | 50% 2738-2731 (5469) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Upavg 46.2Β’ | $94.77 | β | -$26.77 | 58% 3957-2883 (6840) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 15Β’ | $0.3 | β | -$0.3 | 48% 2437-2636 (5073) |
Invested
$504.1
Value
$495.66
PnL
-$6.14
Record
54%
4065-3413 (7478)
Both legs:
Invested
$57.31
Value
$52.13
PnL
-$5.18
Record
54%
2631-2208 (4839)
Invested
$31.21
Value
$65.41
PnL
+$34.2
Record
46%
3188-3736 (6924)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$19.97
Value
β
PnL
-$19.97
Record
49%
1701-1739 (3440)
Invested
$18.07
Value
$16.53
PnL
+$8.45
Record
60%
4116-2795 (6911)
Invested
$5.1
Value
$10.77
PnL
+$6.84
Record
42%
1993-2712 (4705)
Invested
$7.54
Value
β
PnL
-$7.54
Record
48%
2459-2704 (5163)
Invested
$2.09
Value
$2.11
PnL
+$0.02
Record
98%
4326-89 (4415)
Invested
$1.2
Value
β
PnL
-$1.2
Record
50%
2738-2731 (5469)
Invested
$94.77
Value
β
PnL
-$26.77
Record
58%
3957-2883 (6840)
Invested
$0.3
Value
β
PnL
-$0.3
Record
48%
2437-2636 (5073)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
ply-pm2
Down β $52.13
suntori
Down β $65.41

cryingbabydicer87
CTRUp β $0
aaa221
Down β $16.53
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Down β $10.77
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
CTRUp β $0
hoodquant
Down β $2.11
dvasdkasodk
CTRUp β $0
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
CTRUp β $0