Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Back to Markets

Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET

Resolved Up. 43% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

7

Up 50%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$587.92

Combined PnL

-$30.07

Smart Money Signal

Up

3 of 7 top traders (43%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up3 traders

Total Value$90

Total Shares90

Combined PnL-$2.77

Down4 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares119

Combined PnL-$27.3

Up — 43%Down — 57%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50¢	$500	$497.92	-$1.08	54% 3980-3330 (7310)
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$250	—	-$250
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$248.96	$497.92	+$248.92
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 75.9¢	$50.48	$37	-$13.48	50% 3495-3507 (7002)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 66.3¢	$36.57	$30	+$2.4	55% 2589-2161 (4750)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100	Upavg 63.1¢	$22.69	$23	+$8.31	58% 3933-2861 (6794)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Downavg 17.7¢	$15.8	—	-$15.8	50% 1679-1712 (3391)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 34.2¢	$8.55	—	-$8.49	60% 4054-2741 (6795)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 39¢	$0.07	—	-$0.07	44% 2305-2951 (5256)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 49¢	$2.94	—	-$2.94	48% 2415-2654 (5069)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$500

Value

$497.92

PnL

-$1.08

Record

54%

3980-3330 (7310)

Both legs:

Down$25050¢-$250

Up$248.9650¢+$248.92

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$50.48

Value

$37

PnL

-$13.48

Record

50%

3495-3507 (7002)

Invested

$36.57

Value

$30

PnL

+$2.4

Record

55%

2589-2161 (4750)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100

Invested

$22.69

Value

$23

PnL

+$8.31

Record

58%

3933-2861 (6794)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$15.8

Value

—

PnL

-$15.8

Record

50%

1679-1712 (3391)

Invested

$8.55

Value

—

PnL

-$8.49

Record

60%

4054-2741 (6795)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$0.07

Value

—

PnL

-$0.07

Record

44%

2305-2951 (5256)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$2.94

Value

—

PnL

-$2.94

Record

48%

2415-2654 (5069)

Smart Money Signal

Up

3 of 7 top traders (43%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x332012e0...8271e8

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1794732300

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $37

ply-pm2

Up — $30

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $23

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $0

aaa221

Down — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $0

Trade on Polymarket