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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Resolved Down. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Up 55%

Total Value

$143.96

Combined PnL

-$526.47

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 11 top traders (55%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares662
Combined PnL-$561.46
Down5 traders
Total Value$143.96
Total Shares144
Combined PnL+$34.99
Up — 55%Down — 45%
BY
ByteBadger92CTR
Up

Invested

$504.72

Value

—

PnL

-$498.65

Record

54%

3939-3307 (7246)

0X
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$52.81

Value

—

PnL

-$52.81

Record

50%

3476-3482 (6958)

PL
ply-pm2<$100
Down

Invested

$62.43

Value

$74.41

PnL

+$11.98

Record

54%

2562-2153 (4715)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100
Down

Invested

$29.4

Value

$30

PnL

+$0.6

Record

51%

2039-1965 (4004)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Down

Invested

$8.76

Value

$21

PnL

+$12.24

Record

48%

2398-2644 (5042)

ohioism<$100
Down

Invested

$4.4

Value

$10

PnL

+$5.6

Record

47%

2293-2538 (4831)

DV
dvasdkasodk<$100
Down

Invested

$3.98

Value

$8.55

PnL

+$4.57

Record

50%

2671-2654 (5325)

0X
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$3.48

Value

—

PnL

-$3.48

Record

42%

1920-2608 (4528)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.65

Value

—

PnL

-$2.65

Record

60%

4018-2726 (6744)

0X
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.35

Value

—

PnL

-$2.35

Record

58%

3913-2854 (6767)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.52

Value

—

PnL

-$1.52

Record

44%

2289-2937 (5226)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID
0xda04ca8b...ac55c4
Slug
sol-updown-15m-1794729600

Traders in this Market

BY

ByteBadger92

CTR

Up — $0

-$498.65
0X

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

CTR

Up — $0

-$52.81
PL

ply-pm2

Down — $74.41

+$11.98
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $30

+$0.6
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $21

+$12.24

ohioism

Down — $10

+$5.6
DV

dvasdkasodk

Down — $8.55

+$4.57
0X

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

CTR

Up — $0

-$3.48
AA

aaa221

CTR

Up — $0

-$2.65
0X

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

CTR

Up — $0

-$2.35
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