Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
7
Down 57%
1 arb excluded
$685.52
-$47.16
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.6Β’ | $511.97 | $499.61 | -$5.09 | 54% 3914-3284 (7198) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50.6Β’ | $252.84 | $499.61 | +$247.01 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 49.8Β’ | $248.9 | β | -$252.1 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 75.2Β’ | $113.04 | $94.91 | -$18.13 | 50% 3448-3455 (6903) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100 | Downavg 85.2Β’ | $45.99 | $54 | +$8.01 | 58% 3901-2845 (6746) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100 | Upavg 6.8Β’ | $41.5 | β | -$41.5 | 43% 1909-2581 (4490) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 78Β’ | $23.4 | $30 | +$6.6 | 54% 2550-2139 (4689) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $6.93 | $7 | +$0.07 | 50% 2651-2645 (5296) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 20Β’ | $1.22 | β | -$1.22 | 60% 3996-2713 (6709) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 20Β’ | $1 | β | -$1 | 50% 1667-1698 (3365) |
Invested
$511.97
Value
$499.61
PnL
-$5.09
Record
54%
3914-3284 (7198)
Both legs:
Invested
$113.04
Value
$94.91
PnL
-$18.13
Record
50%
3448-3455 (6903)
Invested
$45.99
Value
$54
PnL
+$8.01
Record
58%
3901-2845 (6746)
Invested
$41.5
Value
β
PnL
-$41.5
Record
43%
1909-2581 (4490)
Invested
$23.4
Value
$30
PnL
+$6.6
Record
54%
2550-2139 (4689)
Invested
$6.93
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.07
Record
50%
2651-2645 (5296)
Invested
$1.22
Value
β
PnL
-$1.22
Record
60%
3996-2713 (6709)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
β
PnL
-$1
Record
50%
1667-1698 (3365)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down β $94.91
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down β $54
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
CTRUp β $0
ply-pm2
Down β $30
dvasdkasodk
Down β $7
aaa221
CTRUp β $0

cryingbabydicer87
CTRUp β $0