Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 15, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
7
Down 86%
2 arb excluded
$2.7K
$111.75
Smart Money Signal
6 of 7 top traders (86%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710 | Downavg 94.1Β’ | $1.7K | $1.8K | +$106.09 | 43% 1894-2540 (4434) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 50.2Β’ | $505.91 | $499.39 | +$3.07 | 54% 3871-3256 (7127) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50.2Β’ | $250.89 | $499.39 | +$252.87 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 50Β’ | $249.62 | β | -$249.8 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609ARB<$100 | Downavg 87.6Β’ | $262.59 | $287.8 | +$25.21 | 50% 3424-3398 (6822) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 87.6Β’ | $252.09 | $287.8 | +$35.71 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 4.3Β’ | $10.5 | β | -$10.5 | |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 78.8Β’ | $40.29 | $45.69 | +$5.4 | 54% 2526-2126 (4652) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 82.5Β’ | $25.57 | $31 | +$5.43 | 47% 2362-2616 (4978) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 80.5Β’ | $21.53 | $22.06 | +$5.24 | 60% 3969-2697 (6666) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 87Β’ | $6.09 | $7 | +$0.91 | 50% 1662-1690 (3352) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 94Β’ | $4.9 | $5.21 | +$0.31 | 50% 2621-2631 (5252) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Upavg 9.2Β’ | $11.63 | β | -$11.63 | 58% 3890-2826 (6716) |
Invested
$1,679.19
Value
$1.8K
PnL
+$106.09
Record
43%
1894-2540 (4434)
Invested
$505.91
Value
$499.39
PnL
+$3.07
Record
54%
3871-3256 (7127)
Both legs:
Invested
$262.59
Value
$287.8
PnL
+$25.21
Record
50%
3424-3398 (6822)
Both legs:
Invested
$40.29
Value
$45.69
PnL
+$5.4
Record
54%
2526-2126 (4652)
Invested
$25.57
Value
$31
PnL
+$5.43
Record
47%
2362-2616 (4978)
Invested
$21.53
Value
$22.06
PnL
+$5.24
Record
60%
3969-2697 (6666)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$6.09
Value
$7
PnL
+$0.91
Record
50%
1662-1690 (3352)
Invested
$4.9
Value
$5.21
PnL
+$0.31
Record
50%
2621-2631 (5252)
Invested
$11.63
Value
β
PnL
-$11.63
Record
58%
3890-2826 (6716)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Down β $1.8K
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
ARBArbitrage β excluded
ply-pm2
Down β $45.69
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down β $31
aaa221
Down β $22.06

cryingbabydicer87
Down β $7
dvasdkasodk
Down β $5.21
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
CTRUp β $0