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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET

Resolved Up. 82% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Down 82%

Total Value

$435.91

Combined PnL

-$344.12

Smart Money Signal

Down

9 of 11 top traders (82%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down9 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares732

Combined PnL-$684.49

Up2 traders

Total Value$435.91

Total Shares436

Combined PnL+$340.37

Down — 82%Up — 18%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Downavg 49.8¢	$505.16	—	-$497.47	54% 3808-3199 (7007)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 20.8¢	$89.49	$429.8	+$340.31	50% 3372-3320 (6692)
PL ply-pm2CTR	Downavg 71.3¢	$106.06	—	-$106.06	54% 2490-2100 (4590)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 78¢	$15.59	—	-$15.59	60% 3927-2670 (6597)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100	Downavg 64¢	$55.68	—	-$55.68	58% 3808-2767 (6575)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$6.05	$6.11	+$0.06	98% 4049-84 (4133)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Downavg 41¢	$4.51	—	-$4.51	44% 2227-2869 (5096)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100	Downavg 32¢	$2.01	—	+$2.49	43% 1865-2503 (4368)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 39¢	$2.28	—	-$2.28	47% 2327-2591 (4918)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Downavg 93¢	$4.7	—	-$4.7	50% 1651-1664 (3315)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 30¢	$0.69	—	-$0.69	48% 2317-2509 (4826)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$505.16

Value

—

PnL

-$497.47

Record

54%

3808-3199 (7007)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$89.49

Value

$429.8

PnL

+$340.31

Record

50%

3372-3320 (6692)

Invested

$106.06

Value

—

PnL

-$106.06

Record

54%

2490-2100 (4590)

Invested

$15.59

Value

—

PnL

-$15.59

Record

60%

3927-2670 (6597)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100

Invested

$55.68

Value

—

PnL

-$55.68

Record

58%

3808-2767 (6575)

Invested

$6.05

Value

$6.11

PnL

+$0.06

Record

98%

4049-84 (4133)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$4.51

Value

—

PnL

-$4.51

Record

44%

2227-2869 (5096)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR<$100

Invested

$2.01

Value

—

PnL

+$2.49

Record

43%

1865-2503 (4368)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$2.28

Value

—

PnL

-$2.28

Record

47%

2327-2591 (4918)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$4.7

Value

—

PnL

-$4.7

Record

50%

1651-1664 (3315)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$0.69

Value

—

PnL

-$0.69

Record

48%

2317-2509 (4826)

Smart Money Signal

Down

9 of 11 top traders (82%)9 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xb35acfda...5896e4

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1794715200

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $429.8

ply-pm2

Down — $0

aaa221

Down — $0

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $0

hoodquant

Up — $6.11

G-Penis-Monster

Down — $0

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $0

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $0

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