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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

9

Up 78%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$697.75

Combined PnL

$23.56

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 9 top traders (78%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up7 traders

Total Value$197.75

Total Shares198

Combined PnL+$44.44

Down2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares114

Combined PnL-$20.88

Up — 78%Down — 22%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Upavg 50¢	$505.65	$500	+$5.35	54% 3763-3169 (6932)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$250	$500	+$251
└ Down leg	Downavg 50¢	$245.65	—	-$245.65
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Upavg 45.3¢	$39.13	$67.51	+$28.39	51% 3341-3263 (6604)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Upavg 53.1¢	$21.85	$41.18	+$19.33	49% 2396-2460 (4856)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 65.9¢	$27.29	$37.19	+$12.39	54% 2461-2088 (4549)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Downavg 9.1¢	$13.46	—	-$13.46	50% 1631-1654 (3285)
HO hoodquant<$100	Upavg 99¢	$18.12	$18.3	+$0.18	98% 3999-84 (4083)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100	Upavg 90.3¢	$83.58	$16.56	-$17.02	58% 3775-2737 (6512)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 93.2¢	$10.25	$11	+$0.75	48% 2280-2489 (4769)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 45¢	$7.42	—	-$7.42	60% 3891-2648 (6539)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 93¢	$5.58	$6	+$0.42	47% 2305-2557 (4862)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$505.65

Value

$500

PnL

+$5.35

Record

54%

3763-3169 (6932)

Both legs:

Up$25050¢+$251

Down$245.6550¢-$245.65

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$39.13

Value

$67.51

PnL

+$28.39

Record

51%

3341-3263 (6604)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$21.85

Value

$41.18

PnL

+$19.33

Record

49%

2396-2460 (4856)

Invested

$27.29

Value

$37.19

PnL

+$12.39

Record

54%

2461-2088 (4549)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$13.46

Value

—

PnL

-$13.46

Record

50%

1631-1654 (3285)

Invested

$18.12

Value

$18.3

PnL

+$0.18

Record

98%

3999-84 (4083)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100

Invested

$83.58

Value

$16.56

PnL

-$17.02

Record

58%

3775-2737 (6512)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$10.25

Value

$11

PnL

+$0.75

Record

48%

2280-2489 (4769)

Invested

$7.42

Value

—

PnL

-$7.42

Record

60%

3891-2648 (6539)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$5.58

Value

$6

PnL

+$0.42

Record

47%

2305-2557 (4862)

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 9 top traders (78%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x61d9e758...36c584

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1794710700

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $67.51

uninformedfloww

Up — $41.18

ply-pm2

Up — $37.19

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $0

hoodquant

Up — $18.3

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $16.56

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $11

aaa221

Down — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $6

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