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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET

Resolved Up. 27% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

11

Up 27%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$1.3K

Combined PnL

-$37.2

Smart Money Signal

Up

3 of 11 top traders (27%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up3 traders

Total Value$830.63

Total Shares831

Combined PnL+$360.66

Down8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares635

Combined PnL-$397.86

Up — 27%Down — 73%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710	Upavg 22.7¢	$140.3	$613.07	+$474.7	42% 1805-2456 (4261)
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 49.9¢	$508.15	$487.51	+$0.3	54% 3731-3151 (6882)
└ Up leg	Upavg 49.4¢	$240.83	$487.51	+$246.9
└ Down leg	Downavg 49.9¢	$248.71	—	-$246.61
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609	Upavg 81.6¢	$328.09	$207.27	-$120.82	51% 3321-3240 (6561)
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Downavg 50.2¢	$60.56	—	-$60.56	54% 2440-2083 (4523)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Downavg 45.8¢	$44.87	—	-$44.87	50% 1618-1648 (3266)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 70.8¢	$48.86	—	-$30.02	59% 3865-2632 (6497)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Downavg 35.6¢	$6.41	—	-$6.41	47% 2283-2545 (4828)
AL almachCTR<$100	Downavg 42¢	$5.48	—	-$5.48	51% 1492-1421 (2913)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 34.2¢	$3.52	$10.29	+$6.78	47% 2185-2435 (4620)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Downavg 39¢	$3.9	—	-$3.9	48% 2261-2474 (4735)
PB PBot-5CTR<$100	Downavg 47¢	$0.98	—	-$0.98	48% 1343-1431 (2774)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR	Downavg 61.5¢	$245.64	—	-$245.64	58% 3760-2730 (6490)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Invested

$140.3

Value

$613.07

PnL

+$474.7

Record

42%

1805-2456 (4261)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$508.15

Value

$487.51

PnL

+$0.3

Record

54%

3731-3151 (6882)

Both legs:

Up$240.8349.4¢+$246.9

Down$248.7149.9¢-$246.61

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Invested

$328.09

Value

$207.27

PnL

-$120.82

Record

51%

3321-3240 (6561)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$60.56

Value

—

PnL

-$60.56

Record

54%

2440-2083 (4523)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$44.87

Value

—

PnL

-$44.87

Record

50%

1618-1648 (3266)

Invested

$48.86

Value

—

PnL

-$30.02

Record

59%

3865-2632 (6497)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$6.41

Value

—

PnL

-$6.41

Record

47%

2283-2545 (4828)

Invested

$5.48

Value

—

PnL

-$5.48

Record

51%

1492-1421 (2913)

Invested

$3.52

Value

$10.29

PnL

+$6.78

Record

47%

2185-2435 (4620)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$3.9

Value

—

PnL

-$3.9

Record

48%

2261-2474 (4735)

Invested

$0.98

Value

—

PnL

-$0.98

Record

48%

1343-1431 (2774)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR

Invested

$245.64

Value

—

PnL

-$245.64

Record

58%

3760-2730 (6490)

Smart Money Signal

Up

3 of 11 top traders (27%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed8 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x9f63f10b...138a5d

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1794707100

Traders in this Market

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $613.07

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $207.27

ply-pm2

Down — $0

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $0

aaa221

Down — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $0

almach

Down — $0

ohioism

Up — $10.29

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Down — $0

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