Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 90% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
10
Down 90%
1 arb excluded
$2.6K
-$147.86
Smart Money Signal
9 of 10 top traders (90%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0x50f7 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $1.3K | $1.3K | +$1.34 | 52% 1431-1332 (2763) |
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Downavg 51.3¢ | $518.42 | $500 | +$6.54 | 54% 3695-3113 (6808) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 51.3¢ | $256.33 | $500 | +$253.1 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 49.4¢ | $243.68 | — | -$246.56 | |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 79.1¢ | $292.37 | $342.52 | +$59.65 | 51% 3277-3198 (6475) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Downavg 79¢ | $79 | $100 | +$21 | 58% 3734-2702 (6436) |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 79.1¢ | $116.29 | $147 | +$30.71 | 49% 2352-2415 (4767) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 69.4¢ | $35.87 | $48.94 | +$13.07 | 54% 2422-2063 (4485) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 75.9¢ | $37.97 | $50.04 | +$12.07 | 59% 3835-2614 (6449) |
 cryingbabydicer87<$100 | Downavg 83.3¢ | $16.66 | $19.99 | +$3.33 | 50% 1607-1638 (3245) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 79¢ | $11.85 | $15 | +$3.15 | 70% 1655-694 (2349) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 93¢ | $4.65 | $5 | +$0.35 | 50% 2497-2540 (5037) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710CTR | Upavg 16¢ | $292.53 | — | -$292.53 | 42% 1769-2426 (4195) |
Invested
$1,337.03
Value
$1.3K
PnL
+$1.34
Record
52%
1431-1332 (2763)
Invested
$518.42
Value
$500
PnL
+$6.54
Record
54%
3695-3113 (6808)
Both legs:
Invested
$292.37
Value
$342.52
PnL
+$59.65
Record
51%
3277-3198 (6475)
Invested
$79
Value
$100
PnL
+$21
Record
58%
3734-2702 (6436)
Invested
$116.29
Value
$147
PnL
+$30.71
Record
49%
2352-2415 (4767)
Invested
$35.87
Value
$48.94
PnL
+$13.07
Record
54%
2422-2063 (4485)
Invested
$37.97
Value
$50.04
PnL
+$12.07
Record
59%
3835-2614 (6449)
cryingbabydicer87<$100Invested
$16.66
Value
$19.99
PnL
+$3.33
Record
50%
1607-1638 (3245)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$11.85
Value
$15
PnL
+$3.15
Record
70%
1655-694 (2349)
Invested
$4.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.35
Record
50%
2497-2540 (5037)
Invested
$292.53
Value
—
PnL
-$292.53
Record
42%
1769-2426 (4195)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0x50f7
Down — $1.3K
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage — excluded
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $342.52
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down — $100
uninformedfloww
Down — $147
ply-pm2
Down — $48.94
aaa221
Down — $50.04
cryingbabydicer87
Down — $19.99
BoneOhio
Down — $15
dvasdkasodk
Down — $5