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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET

Resolved Up. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

8

Up 63%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$653.24

Combined PnL

-$34.79

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 8 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders

Total Value$153.24

Total Shares153

Combined PnL-$11.11

Down3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares669

Combined PnL-$23.68

Up — 63%Down — 37%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100	Downavg 50.1¢	$508.46	$500	-$0.45	54% 3632-3064 (6696)
└ Up leg	Upavg 50¢	$250.1	$500	+$249.9
└ Down leg	Downavg 50.1¢	$251.11	—	-$250.35
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100	Upavg 92.5¢	$71.54	$42	-$26.38	58% 3692-2676 (6368)
PL ply-pm2	Upavg 86.3¢	$114.57	$35	-$24.84	54% 2390-2039 (4429)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100	Downavg 1.7¢	$13.63	—	-$13.63	51% 3248-3166 (6414)
BoneOhio<$100	Upavg 40¢	$20	$50	+$30	71% 1635-682 (2317)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 69.5¢	$13.73	$15.24	+$1.51	50% 2462-2507 (4969)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 6.3¢	$9.84	—	-$9.84	49% 2317-2371 (4688)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 26.2¢	$4.45	$11	+$8.6	42% 1736-2377 (4113)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Downavg 3¢	$0.21	—	-$0.21	50% 1577-1608 (3185)

ByteBadger92ARB<$100

Invested

$508.46

Value

$500

PnL

-$0.45

Record

54%

3632-3064 (6696)

Both legs:

Up$250.150¢+$249.9

Down$251.1150.1¢-$250.35

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100

Invested

$71.54

Value

$42

PnL

-$26.38

Record

58%

3692-2676 (6368)

Invested

$114.57

Value

$35

PnL

-$24.84

Record

54%

2390-2039 (4429)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100

Invested

$13.63

Value

—

PnL

-$13.63

Record

51%

3248-3166 (6414)

Invested

$20

Value

$50

PnL

+$30

Record

71%

1635-682 (2317)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$13.73

Value

$15.24

PnL

+$1.51

Record

50%

2462-2507 (4969)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$9.84

Value

—

PnL

-$9.84

Record

49%

2317-2371 (4688)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$4.45

Value

$11

PnL

+$8.6

Record

42%

1736-2377 (4113)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$0.21

Value

—

PnL

-$0.21

Record

50%

1577-1608 (3185)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 8 top traders (63%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x0e8b751c...5a9809

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1794700800

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Arbitrage — excluded

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Up — $42

ply-pm2

Up — $35

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

BoneOhio

Up — $50

dvasdkasodk

Up — $15.24

uninformedfloww

Down — $0

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $11

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $0

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