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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Down 56%

Total Value

$52.52

Combined PnL

-$508.31

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares623

Combined PnL-$512.98

Up4 traders

Total Value$52.52

Total Shares53

Combined PnL+$4.68

Down — 56%Up — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Downavg 49.9¢	$503.34	—	-$488.98	54% 3579-3041 (6620)
AA aaa221<$100	Upavg 77¢	$20.45	$20.01	-$0.44	59% 3751-2555 (6306)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 48¢	$12.75	$15	+$4.7	48% 2164-2388 (4552)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100	Downavg 30.3¢	$17.64	—	-$17.64	58% 3662-2648 (6310)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 95¢	$35.53	$5.89	-$5.31	54% 2366-2025 (4391)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 50.8¢	$5.9	$11.62	+$5.72	42% 1711-2331 (4042)
ohioismCTR<$100	Downavg 37¢	$2.22	—	-$2.22	47% 2109-2347 (4456)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 11.3¢	$3.71	—	-$3.71	49% 2292-2354 (4646)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 1¢	$0.44	—	-$0.44	37% 1368-2322 (3690)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$503.34

Value

—

PnL

-$488.98

Record

54%

3579-3041 (6620)

Invested

$20.45

Value

$20.01

PnL

-$0.44

Record

59%

3751-2555 (6306)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$12.75

Value

$15

PnL

+$4.7

Record

48%

2164-2388 (4552)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100

Invested

$17.64

Value

—

PnL

-$17.64

Record

58%

3662-2648 (6310)

Invested

$35.53

Value

$5.89

PnL

-$5.31

Record

54%

2366-2025 (4391)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$5.9

Value

$11.62

PnL

+$5.72

Record

42%

1711-2331 (4042)

ohioismCTR<$100

Invested

$2.22

Value

—

PnL

-$2.22

Record

47%

2109-2347 (4456)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$3.71

Value

—

PnL

-$3.71

Record

49%

2292-2354 (4646)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.44

Value

—

PnL

-$0.44

Record

37%

1368-2322 (3690)

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x1c0f32e0...971a57

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1794694500

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Down — $0

aaa221

Up — $20.01

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $15

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $0

ply-pm2

Up — $5.89

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $11.62

ohioism

Down — $0

uninformedfloww

Down — $0

antsaslyku

Down — $0

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