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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Resolved Down. 27% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Up 27%

Total Value

$539.91

Combined PnL

-$304.79

Smart Money Signal

Up

3 of 11 top traders (27%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up3 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares534

Combined PnL-$489.88

Down8 traders

Total Value$539.91

Total Shares540

Combined PnL+$185.09

Up — 27%Down — 73%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 49.2¢	$513.7	—	-$484.68	54% 3546-3013 (6559)
UN uninformedfloww	Downavg 55.2¢	$113.85	$206.37	+$92.52	49% 2276-2326 (4602)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e	Downavg 78.3¢	$100.28	$128.14	+$27.86	58% 3639-2637 (6276)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100	Downavg 76.8¢	$81.14	$95.86	+$16.41	51% 3203-3131 (6334)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 40.4¢	$35.2	$54.45	+$23.93	54% 2350-2009 (4359)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Downavg 38.9¢	$15.91	$40.94	+$25.03	49% 1545-1582 (3127)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 43¢	$21.98	$7.98	-$3.63	59% 3720-2542 (6262)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Downavg 87¢	$5.58	$5.17	-$0.41	50% 2427-2459 (4886)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100	Upavg 15.9¢	$3.82	—	-$3.82	47% 2188-2425 (4613)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 23¢	$1.38	—	-$1.38	44% 2099-2693 (4792)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Downavg 37¢	$2.22	$1	+$3.38	42% 1702-2303 (4005)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$513.7

Value

—

PnL

-$484.68

Record

54%

3546-3013 (6559)

uninformedfloww

Invested

$113.85

Value

$206.37

PnL

+$92.52

Record

49%

2276-2326 (4602)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Invested

$100.28

Value

$128.14

PnL

+$27.86

Record

58%

3639-2637 (6276)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609<$100

Invested

$81.14

Value

$95.86

PnL

+$16.41

Record

51%

3203-3131 (6334)

Invested

$35.2

Value

$54.45

PnL

+$23.93

Record

54%

2350-2009 (4359)

cryingbabydicer87<$100

Invested

$15.91

Value

$40.94

PnL

+$25.03

Record

49%

1545-1582 (3127)

Invested

$21.98

Value

$7.98

PnL

-$3.63

Record

59%

3720-2542 (6262)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$5.58

Value

$5.17

PnL

-$0.41

Record

50%

2427-2459 (4886)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025CTR<$100

Invested

$3.82

Value

—

PnL

-$3.82

Record

47%

2188-2425 (4613)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$1.38

Value

—

PnL

-$1.38

Record

44%

2099-2693 (4792)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$2.22

Value

$1

PnL

+$3.38

Record

42%

1702-2303 (4005)

Smart Money Signal

Up

3 of 11 top traders (27%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x87a82683...82e7bd

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1794690000

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

uninformedfloww

Down — $206.37

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $128.14

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $95.86

ply-pm2

Down — $54.45

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $40.94

aaa221

Down — $7.98

dvasdkasodk

Down — $5.17

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $0

G-Penis-Monster

Up — $0

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