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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET

Resolved Up. 62% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Down 62%

Total Value

$575.59

Combined PnL

-$563.03

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 13 top traders (62%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up5 traders

Total Value$575.59

Total Shares576

Combined PnL+$70.89

Down8 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares692

Combined PnL-$633.93

Up — 38%Down — 62%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92	Upavg 48.3¢	$521.29	$511.12	+$21.61	54% 3514-2992 (6506)
PL ply-pm2CTR	Downavg 56.4¢	$120.98	—	-$120.34	54% 2335-1997 (4332)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR	Downavg 83.1¢	$304.05	—	-$283.7	51% 3173-3101 (6274)
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100	Downavg 74.5¢	$84.6	—	-$84.6	50% 2267-2294 (4561)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR	Downavg 50.8¢	$138.95	—	-$80.87	58% 3629-2629 (6258)
ohioism<$100	Upavg 24¢	$5.15	$21.44	+$16.29	47% 2079-2312 (4391)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Upavg 30¢	$3.6	$12	+$8.4	42% 1686-2284 (3970)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100	Downavg 80.4¢	$49.06	—	-$49.06	49% 1530-1579 (3109)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Downavg 84¢	$6.03	—	-$6.03	50% 2409-2440 (4849)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Upavg 18.7¢	$2.99	$16.03	+$13.04	48% 2176-2405 (4581)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100	Upavg 23¢	$3.45	$15	+$11.55	48% 2136-2349 (4485)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 78.8¢	$14.18	—	-$5.78	59% 3698-2531 (6229)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Downavg 57¢	$3.54	—	-$3.54	37% 1353-2279 (3632)

Invested

$521.29

Value

$511.12

PnL

+$21.61

Record

54%

3514-2992 (6506)

Invested

$120.98

Value

—

PnL

-$120.34

Record

54%

2335-1997 (4332)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR

Invested

$304.05

Value

—

PnL

-$283.7

Record

51%

3173-3101 (6274)

uninformedflowwCTR<$100

Invested

$84.6

Value

—

PnL

-$84.6

Record

50%

2267-2294 (4561)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR

Invested

$138.95

Value

—

PnL

-$80.87

Record

58%

3629-2629 (6258)

Invested

$5.15

Value

$21.44

PnL

+$16.29

Record

47%

2079-2312 (4391)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$3.6

Value

$12

PnL

+$8.4

Record

42%

1686-2284 (3970)

cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100

Invested

$49.06

Value

—

PnL

-$49.06

Record

49%

1530-1579 (3109)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$6.03

Value

—

PnL

-$6.03

Record

50%

2409-2440 (4849)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$2.99

Value

$16.03

PnL

+$13.04

Record

48%

2176-2405 (4581)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530<$100

Invested

$3.45

Value

$15

PnL

+$11.55

Record

48%

2136-2349 (4485)

Invested

$14.18

Value

—

PnL

-$5.78

Record

59%

3698-2531 (6229)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$3.54

Value

—

PnL

-$3.54

Record

37%

1353-2279 (3632)

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 13 top traders (62%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x02e78dbb...8afb58

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1794687300

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $511.12

ply-pm2

Down — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Down — $0

uninformedfloww

Down — $0

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $0

ohioism

Up — $21.44

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Up — $12

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $0

dvasdkasodk

Down — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Up — $16.03

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