Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Down β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
π
Won
6
Down 50%
1 arb excluded
$535.68
-$3.63
Smart Money Signal
3 of 6 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BY ByteBadger92ARB<$100 | Upavg 49.4Β’ | $502.08 | $500 | +$0.23 | 54% 3514-2992 (6506) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50Β’ | $250 | $500 | +$250 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 49.4Β’ | $250.59 | β | -$249.77 | |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 85.5Β’ | $36.81 | $20 | -$4.76 | 54% 2335-1997 (4332) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 32Β’ | $3.41 | $10.66 | +$7.25 | 59% 3698-2531 (6229) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99Β’ | $4.97 | $5.02 | +$0.05 | 98% 3730-79 (3809) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 45Β’ | $2.25 | β | -$2.25 | 48% 2136-2349 (4485) |
![]() cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100 | Upavg 6Β’ | $0.42 | β | -$0.42 | 49% 1530-1579 (3109) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100 | Upavg 35Β’ | $3.5 | β | -$3.5 | 58% 3629-2629 (6258) |
Invested
$502.08
Value
$500
PnL
+$0.23
Record
54%
3514-2992 (6506)
Both legs:
Invested
$36.81
Value
$20
PnL
-$4.76
Record
54%
2335-1997 (4332)
Invested
$3.41
Value
$10.66
PnL
+$7.25
Record
59%
3698-2531 (6229)
Invested
$4.97
Value
$5.02
PnL
+$0.05
Record
98%
3730-79 (3809)
Invested
$2.25
Value
β
PnL
-$2.25
Record
48%
2136-2349 (4485)
cryingbabydicer87CTR<$100Invested
$0.42
Value
β
PnL
-$0.42
Record
49%
1530-1579 (3109)
Invested
$3.5
Value
β
PnL
-$3.5
Record
58%
3629-2629 (6258)
Chat
Market Info
Traders in this Market
ByteBadger92
ARBArbitrage β excluded
ply-pm2
Down β $20
aaa221
Down β $10.66
hoodquant
Down β $5.02
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
CTRUp β $0

cryingbabydicer87
CTRUp β $0
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
CTRUp β $0