Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - November 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
14
Down 71%
1 arb excluded
$1.8K
-$101.76
Smart Money Signal
10 of 14 top traders (71%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 69.9¢ | $858.65 | $726.53 | -$106.98 | 51% 3138-3071 (6209) |
BY ByteBadger92 | Downavg 50.5¢ | $522.86 | $487 | +$13.61 | 54% 3484-2956 (6440) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 59.4¢ | $228.96 | $280.69 | +$51.72 | 54% 2316-1981 (4297) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 59.4¢ | $166.59 | $280.69 | +$114.1 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 26.3¢ | $62.38 | — | -$62.38 | |
 cryingbabydicer87 | Downavg 83.3¢ | $90.36 | $108.44 | +$18.07 | 49% 1520-1565 (3085) |
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e | Downavg 67.2¢ | $102.75 | $89 | +$19.44 | 58% 3619-2623 (6242) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 85.4¢ | $28.1 | $26.97 | -$1.1 | 50% 2392-2413 (4805) |
 G-Penis-Monster<$100 | Downavg 37¢ | $5.55 | $15 | +$9.45 | 44% 2059-2654 (4713) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 81.8¢ | $23.69 | $23.76 | +$3.87 | 59% 3675-2516 (6191) |
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100 | Downavg 87¢ | $10.44 | $12 | +$1.56 | 42% 1669-2262 (3931) |
 BoneOhio<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $10.08 | $10.18 | +$0.1 | 71% 1584-646 (2230) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 28¢ | $4.5 | — | -$4.5 | 48% 2113-2329 (4442) |
HO hoodquant<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $2.97 | $3 | +$0.03 | 98% 3678-79 (3757) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 5.3¢ | $0.33 | — | -$0.33 | 37% 1347-2255 (3602) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 22.7¢ | $53.96 | — | -$53.96 | 50% 2249-2257 (4506) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 19¢ | $1.03 | — | -$1.03 | 47% 2060-2289 (4349) |
Invested
$858.65
Value
$726.53
PnL
-$106.98
Record
51%
3138-3071 (6209)
Invested
$522.86
Value
$487
PnL
+$13.61
Record
54%
3484-2956 (6440)
Invested
$228.96
Value
$280.69
PnL
+$51.72
Record
54%
2316-1981 (4297)
Both legs:
cryingbabydicer87Invested
$90.36
Value
$108.44
PnL
+$18.07
Record
49%
1520-1565 (3085)
Invested
$102.75
Value
$89
PnL
+$19.44
Record
58%
3619-2623 (6242)
Invested
$28.1
Value
$26.97
PnL
-$1.1
Record
50%
2392-2413 (4805)
G-Penis-Monster<$100Invested
$5.55
Value
$15
PnL
+$9.45
Record
44%
2059-2654 (4713)
Invested
$23.69
Value
$23.76
PnL
+$3.87
Record
59%
3675-2516 (6191)
Invested
$10.44
Value
$12
PnL
+$1.56
Record
42%
1669-2262 (3931)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$10.08
Value
$10.18
PnL
+$0.1
Record
71%
1584-646 (2230)
Invested
$4.5
Value
—
PnL
-$4.5
Record
48%
2113-2329 (4442)
Invested
$2.97
Value
$3
PnL
+$0.03
Record
98%
3678-79 (3757)
Invested
$0.33
Value
—
PnL
-$0.33
Record
37%
1347-2255 (3602)
Invested
$53.96
Value
—
PnL
-$53.96
Record
50%
2249-2257 (4506)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$1.03
Value
—
PnL
-$1.03
Record
47%
2060-2289 (4349)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609
Down — $726.53
ByteBadger92
Down — $487
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
cryingbabydicer87
Down — $108.44
0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e
Down — $89
dvasdkasodk
Down — $26.97
G-Penis-Monster
Down — $15
aaa221
Down — $23.76
0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710
Down — $12
BoneOhio
Down — $10.18