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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - November 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Resolved Down. 46% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

13

Up 46%

Total Value

$207.44

Combined PnL

-$661.08

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 13 top traders (46%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares760

Combined PnL-$690.35

Down7 traders

Total Value$207.44

Total Shares207

Combined PnL+$29.27

Up — 46%Down — 54%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BY ByteBadger92CTR	Upavg 49.6¢	$515.27	—	-$493.08	54% 3484-2956 (6440)
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR	Upavg 63.5¢	$168.98	—	-$168.98	51% 3138-3071 (6209)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100	Downavg 41.9¢	$50.97	$92	+$49.07	58% 3619-2623 (6242)
PL ply-pm2	Downavg 77.9¢	$141.69	$76.24	-$33.09	54% 2316-1981 (4297)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 59¢	$23.48	—	-$23.48	48% 2113-2329 (4442)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100	Downavg 17¢	$1.7	$10	+$8.3	48% 2157-2382 (4539)
BoneOhio<$100	Downavg 99¢	$9.9	$10	+$0.1	71% 1584-646 (2230)
cryingbabydicer87<$100	Downavg 94.4¢	$6.74	$7.14	+$0.4	49% 1520-1565 (3085)
HO hoodquant<$100	Downavg 98¢	$5.94	$6.06	+$0.12	98% 3678-79 (3757)
0X 0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100	Downavg 27.2¢	$1.63	$6	+$4.37	42% 1669-2262 (3931)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 7.6¢	$3.85	—	-$3.85	50% 2392-2413 (4805)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100	Upavg 9¢	$0.9	—	-$0.9	44% 2059-2654 (4713)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	37% 1347-2255 (3602)

ByteBadger92CTR

Invested

$515.27

Value

—

PnL

-$493.08

Record

54%

3484-2956 (6440)

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR

Invested

$168.98

Value

—

PnL

-$168.98

Record

51%

3138-3071 (6209)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e<$100

Invested

$50.97

Value

$92

PnL

+$49.07

Record

58%

3619-2623 (6242)

Invested

$141.69

Value

$76.24

PnL

-$33.09

Record

54%

2316-1981 (4297)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$23.48

Value

—

PnL

-$23.48

Record

48%

2113-2329 (4442)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100

Invested

$1.7

Value

$10

PnL

+$8.3

Record

48%

2157-2382 (4539)

Invested

$9.9

Value

$10

PnL

+$0.1

Record

71%

1584-646 (2230)

cryingbabydicer87<$100

Invested

$6.74

Value

$7.14

PnL

+$0.4

Record

49%

1520-1565 (3085)

Invested

$5.94

Value

$6.06

PnL

+$0.12

Record

98%

3678-79 (3757)

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710<$100

Invested

$1.63

Value

$6

PnL

+$4.37

Record

42%

1669-2262 (3931)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$3.85

Value

—

PnL

-$3.85

Record

50%

2392-2413 (4805)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100

Invested

$0.9

Value

—

PnL

-$0.9

Record

44%

2059-2654 (4713)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

37%

1347-2255 (3602)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 13 top traders (46%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x6aac865c...4d1099

Slug

sol-updown-15m-1794682800

Traders in this Market

ByteBadger92

Up — $0

0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609

Up — $0

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Down — $92

ply-pm2

Down — $76.24

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $0

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $10

BoneOhio

Down — $10

cryingbabydicer87

Down — $7.14

hoodquant

Down — $6.06

0x0dbd0e1d5999a401263dc26cbf1597f2be0cfcd5-1793622023710

Down — $6

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